Thu, Oct 19, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 79% of the time.
15%
73%
BUF winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Backlund–Coleman–Coronato | Huberdeau–Lindholm–Mangiapane | Greer–Sharangovich–Duehr | Kadri–Dube–Ruzicka | Huberdeau–Lindholm–Duehr | Kadri–Huberdeau–Ruzicka | Hanifin–Andersson | Weegar–Zadorov | Tanev–Gilbert | Tanev–Weegar | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 3:040.09–0.15 | 1:450.00–0.26 | 3:010.07–0.00 | 2:060.09–0.33 | 3:110.01–0.16 | 2:500.06–0.00 | ||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | 1:150.00–0.02 | 2:200.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:350.22–0.00 | 2:120.00–0.02 | 1:560.00–0.00 | ||||
| Krebs–Cozens–Peterka | 0:450.08–0.04 | 1:480.02–0.01 | 2:200.64–0.11 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 2:550.02–0.01 | 2:480.72–0.11 | 1:110.00–0.04 | ||
| Greenway–Mittelstadt–Benson | 2:370.00–0.16 | 1:520.12–0.16 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.06 | 2:310.12–0.11 | 1:170.00–0.07 | 2:290.00–0.20 | |||
| Skinner–Cozens–Peterka | 0:330.00–0.22 | 0:550.07–0.22 | ||||||||
| Greenway–Mittelstadt–Peterka | 0:320.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 1:120.00–0.06 | 1:270.00–0.06 | 1:250.46–0.10 | 2:430.01–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.01 | 4:400.47–0.08 | 2:070.00–0.16 | |||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 1:260.00–0.15 | 2:180.12–0.12 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:140.04–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 3:410.12–0.18 | 2:080.00–0.15 | 1:420.04–0.00 | ||
| Johnson–Clifton | 1:420.11–0.06 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.26 | 1:120.00–0.06 | 2:260.01–0.26 | 0:510.11–0.03 | 2:140.00–0.10 | |||
| Dahlin–Power | 1:000.09–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.06 | 1:130.09–0.00 | 2:090.16–0.06 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||
| Clifton–Dahlin | 1:090.00–0.02 | 0:420.22–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 1:260.13–0.01 | 1:370.13–0.01 | ||||||||
| Johnson–Samuelsson | 1:170.06–0.33 | 0:550.00–0.22 | 0:460.06–0.11 | |||||||
| Clifton–Power | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 0:300.00–0.16 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Clifton–Jokiharju | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Owen PowerBUF | 30 | 26:00 | 0:52 | 2:12 | 5 | 2 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 30 | 23:52 | 0:48 | 2:10 | 4 | 7 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 23:25 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 8 | 2 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 29 | 22:47 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 9 | 11 |
 Noah HanifinCGY | 32 | 22:38 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 3 | 9 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 29 | 21:16 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 7 | 8 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 30 | 21:12 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 3 | 7 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 20:25 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 8 | 4 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 26 | 19:24 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 4 | 9 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 19:12 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 1 | 9 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 19:07 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 7 | 1 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 21 | 18:22 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 9 | 4 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 27 | 18:11 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 1 | 7 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 21 | 17:52 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 5 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 20 | 17:38 | 0:53 | 1:40 | 7 | 2 |
 Nikita ZadorovCGY | 23 | 15:34 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Adam RuzickaCGY | 19 | 15:21 | 0:48 | 2:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 22 | 15:01 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 2 | 1 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 19 | 14:57 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 5 | 0 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 22 | 14:35 | 0:40 | 2:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 23 | 14:01 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 21 | 13:53 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 19 | 13:46 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 18 | 13:29 | 0:45 | 2:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 13:00 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 2 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 12:58 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 4 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 12:45 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 6 | 2 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 18 | 12:33 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 6 | 5 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 18 | 12:13 | 0:41 | 0:58 | 1 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 15 | 12:08 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 4 | 0 |
 Dennis GilbertCGY | 18 | 11:50 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 11:34 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 17 | 11:09 | 0:39 | 0:55 | 5 | 1 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 15 | 10:40 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 A.J. GreerCGY | 15 | 10:32 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |
 Walker DuehrCGY | 16 | 10:01 | 0:38 | 0:57 | 1 | 1 |