Tue, Oct 24, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.
69%
8%
17%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:18 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.09 | 32.9% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 33.9% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 23.3% | +3.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.33 | 28.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.18 | 25.2% | +3.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:41 | 0.65 | 42.5% | +9.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.09 | 54.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.05 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.10 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.25 | 54.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.23 | 63.8% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:55 | 0.08 | 13.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 37 | 1 | .974 | 3.65 | +2.6 | 59:33 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:10 | 0.12 | 50.3% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.28 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.06 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.14 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19:43 | 1.44 | 58.1% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.03 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.11 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.10 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:35 | 0.24 | 53.8% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.04 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.13 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.52 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:06 | 0.38 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.03 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.04 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 2.06 | −1.9 | 59:30 |