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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 24, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Washington Capitals 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.

WSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderJarnkrok–Marner–MatthewsDomi–Kampf–KniesReaves–Gregor–HolmbergBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–LiljegrenGiordano–KlingbergBrodie–McCabeKlingberg–Rielly
Oshie–Kuznetsov–McMichael2:430.09–0.005:050.32–0.160:580.00–0.004:590.10–0.173:130.22–0.001:120.10–0.00
Ovechkin–Strome–Phillips3:110.21–0.261:210.09–0.002:050.08–0.000:330.00–0.002:270.21–0.181:510.17–0.113:140.00–0.150:360.00–0.00
Backstrom–Wilson–Milano2:010.00–0.051:010.00–0.001:190.10–0.000:550.00–0.001:200.00–0.052:200.10–0.001:480.00–0.00
Mantha–Malenstyn–Protas1:530.01–0.001:550.04–0.001:370.00–0.001:080.01–0.001:210.04–0.00
Backstrom–Wilson–Mantha0:430.00–0.001:310.07–0.060:300.00–0.000:450.04–0.060:490.04–0.00
Ovechkin–Oshie–Kuznetsov0:570.00–0.141:010.00–0.140:320.03–0.05
Backstrom–Wilson–Protas0:500.18–0.000:370.00–0.000:500.18–0.000:370.00–0.00
Milano–Strome–Phillips0:380.06–0.000:390.06–0.00
Carlson–Fehérváry3:330.24–0.094:470.19–0.160:570.00–0.140:340.00–0.005:570.32–0.333:030.10–0.143:060.12–0.01
van Riemsdyk–Sandin5:020.09–0.301:410.18–0.001:440.05–0.001:390.32–0.004:400.59–0.062:570.05–0.113:010.13–0.14
Jensen–Alexeyev2:570.11–0.003:510.08–0.061:370.09–0.002:530.14–0.061:160.00–0.000:590.00–0.000:480.04–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev0:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:010.02–0.001:010.00–0.001:130.00–0.001:410.02–0.00
Jensen–Sandin1:230.06–0.000:530.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:450.06–0.001:080.00–0.00
Carlson–Sandin1:100.00–0.000:490.04–0.001:490.05–0.000:350.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry1:100.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:130.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Jensen–Fehérváry1:030.00–0.05
Jensen–van Riemsdyk0:330.00–0.001:010.21–0.00
Carlson–Alexeyev0:400.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcMichael FOshie FKuznetsov FWilson FBackstrom FMilano FPhillips FOvechkin FStrome FMantha FProtas FMalenstyn FFehérváry DCarlson DSandin Dvan Riemsdyk DJensen DAlexeyev DKuemper GMarner FJarnkrok FMatthews FBertuzzi FTavares FNylander FKampf FKnies FDomi FHolmberg FGregor FReaves FRielly DBrodie DMcCabe DLiljegren DKlingberg DGiordano DWoll G
WSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2424:101:002:3733
TJ BrodieTOR2722:180:501:5414
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2022:001:062:5821
Morgan RiellyTOR2621:350:501:4113
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2221:220:581:5810
Rasmus SandinWSH2520:330:492:0130
Alex OvechkinWSH2019:430:592:3260
Jake McCabeTOR2519:200:461:3412
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2319:130:501:3412
Martin FehérváryWSH2018:580:571:5031
John KlingbergTOR2218:520:511:5021
Auston MatthewsTOR1918:511:001:5322
Mitch MarnerTOR1918:010:571:4432
William NylanderTOR1817:410:591:4531
Dylan StromeWSH1917:380:561:3170
T.J. OshieWSH1916:540:531:5141
John TavaresTOR1716:430:591:5121
Tom WilsonWSH2116:350:471:1241
Nick JensenWSH2116:350:471:4144
Mark GiordanoTOR2216:040:441:1902
Connor McMichaelWSH1915:380:491:4522
Nicklas BackstromWSH2015:360:471:2831
Matthew PhillipsWSH1915:060:481:1941
Matthew KniesTOR1715:050:531:2502
Tyler BertuzziTOR1715:020:531:4001
David KampfTOR1814:110:471:1513
Calle JarnkrokTOR1813:540:461:1911
Max DomiTOR1613:120:501:1902
Alexander AlexeyevWSH1512:510:511:2422
Pontus HolmbergTOR1612:010:451:0110
Noah GregorTOR1811:550:400:5201
Ryan ReavesTOR1410:560:471:0400
Sonny MilanoWSH1410:530:471:0921
Beck MalenstynWSH1610:530:411:0404
Anthony ManthaWSH1310:340:491:2702
Aliaksei ProtasWSH149:380:411:0704