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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 24, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 6, Ottawa Senators 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

6

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 3:02Shot by Kelly, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Batherson, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 7:47Shot by Sanderson, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 8:06Goal by Skinner (Tuch, Mittelstadt)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Kubalik, Chychrun, Norris, Batherson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  8. P1 8:54Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 9:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  10. P1 10:37Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 11:20Goal by Girgensons (Clifton, Okposo)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Bernard-Docker · BUF Johnson, Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Olofsson

  12. P1 12:34Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 13:06Shot by Chabot, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 13:18Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 14:42Shot by Hamonic, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 15:04Shot by Benson, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 16:05Shot by Chabot, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 16:36Tkachuk: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Tkachuk, Greig, Sanderson · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens

  19. P1 16:41Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg4v5
  20. P1 18:46Shot by Kelly, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 19:03Okposo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Greig · BUF Johnson, Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Krebs

  22. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:27Thompson: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Johnson, Greenway, Thompson, Samuelsson

  25. P2 0:32Shot by Norris, saved by Luukkonen5v3
  26. P2 0:34Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen5v3
  27. P2 2:13Shot by Chabot, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  28. P2 2:18Shot by Joseph, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  29. P2 3:35Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  30. P2 4:01Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  31. P2 4:04Goal by Skinner (Cozens, Mittelstadt)+10 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Kubalik, Norris, Kelly, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Clifton, Mittelstadt, Cozens, Power

  32. P2 4:34Clifton: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Stützle · BUF Clifton, Krebs, Peterka, Power, Benson

  33. P2 5:21Shot by Batherson, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  34. P2 5:41Shot by Sanderson, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  35. P2 7:11Shot by Kastelic, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 8:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 9:47Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 10:03Shot by Power, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 11:38Shot by Clifton, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 12:35Shot by Sanderson, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 13:14Goal by Chychrun (Hamonic, Tarasenko)+9 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Tarasenko, Chychrun, Kelly, Greig · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  42. P2 16:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 16:50Hamonic: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Chychrun, Norris, Batherson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  44. P2 17:08Goal by Tuch (Dahlin, Thompson)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Kelly, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  45. P2 18:48Goal by Thompson (Power, Jokiharju)+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Chabot, Chychrun, Norris, Batherson · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:53Shot by Norris, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 4:13Shot by Krebs, saved by Korpisalo
  50. P3 4:42Shot by Clifton, saved by Korpisalo
  51. P3 4:53Shot by Greig, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 5:27Shot by Tuch, saved by Korpisalo
  53. P3 5:47Shot by Kelly, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 5:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P3 5:53Shot by Giroux, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 6:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 8:45Shot by Chabot, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 9:04Shot by Clifton, saved by Korpisalo
  59. P3 9:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  60. P3 9:40Shot by Stützle, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 11:24Shot by Stützle, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 13:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Korpisalo
  63. P3 15:16Shot by Chartier, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 15:17Shot by Kastelic, saved by Luukkonen
  65. P3 15:18Shot by Chartier, saved by Luukkonen
  66. P3 15:35Goal by Tarasenko (Chabot, Joseph)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Joseph, Greig, Sanderson · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson

  67. P3 16:50Tuch: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  68. P3 16:50Tkachuk: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  69. P3 16:50Tuch: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  70. P3 16:50Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  71. P3 16:50Tkachuk: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  72. P3 17:21Shot by Greig, saved by Luukkonen
  73. P3 17:23Cozens: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Joseph, Brannstrom, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  74. P3 17:23Tarasenko: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Joseph, Brannstrom, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  75. P3 17:23Cozens: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Joseph, Brannstrom, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  76. P3 17:23Tarasenko: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Joseph, Brannstrom, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  77. P3 17:23Cozens: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Joseph, Brannstrom, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  78. P3 17:23Cozens: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Joseph, Brannstrom, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  79. P3 17:31Shot by Stützle, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  80. P3 18:12Shot by Norris, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  81. P3 18:38Goal by Norris (Batherson, Stützle)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Norris, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Samuelsson, Krebs

  82. P3 18:58Goal by Joseph (Greig, Sanderson)+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Chabot, Joseph, Greig, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Clifton, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju

  83. P3 19:24Girgensons: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Girgensons, Greenway, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  84. P3 19:37Goal by Thompson, unassisted6v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Norris, Batherson, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Johnson, Greenway, Thompson, Samuelsson

  85. P3 19:58Brannstrom: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Johnson, Greenway, Samuelsson, Krebs

  86. P3 0:00Period end4v4
  87. P3 0:00Final