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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 24, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 6, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–MittelstadtOkposo–Girgensons–OlofssonGreenway–Thompson–CozensKrebs–Peterka–BensonOkposo–Girgensons–KrebsOkposo–Girgensons–CozensSkinner–Mittelstadt–CozensGreenway–Thompson–BensonSamuelsson–DahlinJokiharju–PowerJohnson–CliftonClifton–PowerJokiharju–DahlinClifton–DahlinClifton–Jokiharju
Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle2:070.02–0.001:300.09–0.005:010.07–0.320:340.00–0.001:120.27–0.000:380.05–0.003:500.33–0.004:170.29–0.323:500.20–0.000:320.05–0.000:380.01–0.00
Tarasenko–Joseph–Greig3:010.08–0.083:420.02–0.271:030.02–0.002:210.12–0.003:190.10–0.302:550.00–0.17
Kubalik–Norris–Batherson2:260.17–0.111:150.00–0.052:260.17–0.031:380.00–0.230:480.00–0.05
Chartier–Kastelic–Kelly0:390.03–0.003:150.00–0.012:440.15–0.011:160.00–0.040:330.00–0.00
Norris–Batherson–Kelly1:490.06–0.260:310.00–0.001:320.06–0.131:010.00–0.06
Kubalik–Chartier–Kastelic0:450.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Chabot–Sanderson3:110.06–0.001:450.20–0.006:010.07–0.351:030.12–0.000:380.05–0.004:590.51–0.004:530.28–0.324:220.29–0.000:560.00–0.030:430.01–0.00
Brannstrom–Bernard-Docker2:380.00–0.195:490.01–0.112:390.13–0.011:030.02–0.004:550.10–0.132:260.03–0.004:400.13–0.170:320.00–0.00
Hamonic–Chychrun5:470.26–0.360:320.00–0.222:130.00–0.000:330.00–0.004:020.17–0.035:230.40–0.481:340.00–0.11
Chabot–Chychrun0:310.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:350.00–0.150:390.03–0.000:370.00–0.00
Hamonic–Sanderson0:470.00–0.000:470.00–0.110:500.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FStützle FGiroux FNorris FBatherson FKubalik FGreig FJoseph FTarasenko FKastelic FChartier FKelly FChabot DSanderson DHamonic DChychrun DBernard-Docker DBrannstrom DForsberg GKorpisalo GGreenway FCozens FThompson FTuch FMittelstadt FSkinner FOlofsson FOkposo FGirgensons FKrebs FPeterka FBenson FSamuelsson DDahlin DPower DJokiharju DClifton DJohnson DLuukkonen G
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake SandersonOTT2826:120:562:1483
Tim StützleOTT2424:431:021:4243
Thomas ChabotOTT2523:120:561:4231
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2922:350:471:4429
Claude GirouxOTT2422:320:562:0455
Rasmus DahlinBUF2721:170:471:5534
Brady TkachukOTT2020:251:011:5733
Owen PowerBUF2619:130:441:2135
Connor CliftonBUF2219:010:521:4922
Erik JohnsonBUF2118:450:541:5025
Jakob ChychrunOTT2218:050:491:4822
Casey MittelstadtBUF2317:420:461:4843
Jeff SkinnerBUF2217:350:481:3053
Henri JokiharjuBUF2417:310:441:2824
Alex TuchBUF2217:280:481:4053
Kyle OkposoBUF2216:330:451:5814
Josh NorrisOTT2016:310:501:2680
Jordan GreenwayBUF2416:300:411:2229
Travis HamonicOTT2316:230:431:5024
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2416:210:411:3315
Drake BathersonOTT1916:070:511:4350
Erik BrannstromOTT2115:530:451:4424
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2015:120:461:4424
Tage ThompsonBUF2214:550:411:3626
Dylan CozensBUF2014:420:441:3034
Mathieu JosephOTT1914:230:451:1242
Ridly GreigOTT2114:220:411:1052
Vladimir TarasenkoOTT1914:040:441:2842
Parker KellyOTT1812:310:421:2924
Peyton KrebsBUF1812:070:401:2333
Victor OlofssonBUF1411:410:501:5212
Dominik KubalikOTT1611:330:431:1720
Zach BensonBUF139:490:451:1531
JJ PeterkaBUF118:420:471:1320
Mark KastelicOTT138:060:371:0502
Rourke ChartierOTT147:440:330:5402