Tue, Oct 24, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 6, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
54%
10%
29%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:35 | 0.00 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.01 | 21.8% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.10 | 62.3% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.15 | 35.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.04 | 49.8% | +25.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 17:35 | 0.43 | 48.8% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.03 | 53.0% | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.45 | 50.5% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 32.1% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.11 | 28.0% | +14.8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.89 | 58.3% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.04 | 60.6% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.04 | 4.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.22 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.04 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:42 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 3.27 | −0.7 | 59:42 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:12 | 0.24 | 71.7% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:43 | 0.11 | 69.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:12 | 0.15 | 71.2% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.17 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:25 | 0.58 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.02 | 42.7% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −5 | 4 | 16:31 | 0.43 | 32.7% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.15 | 44.8% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.17 | 34.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.11 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.35 | 48.5% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.05 | 58.3% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.10 | 40.1% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:31 | 0.24 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:06 | 0.16 | 91.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:44 | 0.22 | 89.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 13 | 5 | .722 | 1.63 | −3.4 | 40:00 | |
| – | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.46 | +0.5 | 19:42 |