Tue, Oct 24, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Dallas Stars 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.
61%
25%
PIT winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:56 | 0.08 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.07 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 | 0.04 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.07 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.25 | 26.9% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.10 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.19 | 52.4% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.13 | 41.3% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.09 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 15:26 | 0.49 | 58.7% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:18 | 0.46 | 60.4% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.40 | 43.6% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:48 | 0.12 | 34.9% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.06 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.02 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.06 | 55.5% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 0.49 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:34 | 0.05 | 72.2% | +20.6 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 4.32 | +3.3 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:26 | 0.09 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:52 | 0.09 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.07 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.34 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 20:13 | 1.03 | 52.9% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.02 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.24 | 64.7% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.43 | 52.4% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.32 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.02 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.35 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.39 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:48 | 0.35 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.12 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.14 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:05 | 0.10 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.12 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:29 | 0.10 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.16 | −0.8 | 60:00 |