Fri, Oct 27, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Minnesota Wild 2, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 70% of the time.
22%
64%
WSH winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:38 | 0.02 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:32 | 0.06 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24:56 | 0.77 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:34 | 0.41 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:39 | 0.60 | 68.8% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.26 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:46 | 0.39 | 71.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.48 | 67.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:58 | 0.38 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:40 | 0.54 | 56.9% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.31 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.10 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.00 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:12 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.93 | +0.9 | 64:13 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:11 | 0.17 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:22 | 0.36 | 47.5% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:16 | 0.24 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.18 | 65.0% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:00 | 0.09 | 52.9% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:55 | 0.34 | 76.6% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:50 | 0.18 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:26 | 0.75 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:56 | 0.23 | 63.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.04 | 26.9% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:33 | 0.29 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.06 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:21 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:18 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 4.32 | +2.3 | 65:00 |