Fri, Oct 27, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Minnesota Wild 2, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 70% of the time.
22%
64%
WSH winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Duhaime–Lettieri–Dewar | Zuccarello–Hartman–Kaprizov | Maroon–Johansson–Eriksson Ek | Johansson–Foligno–Rossi | Maroon–Foligno–Eriksson Ek | Zuccarello–Kaprizov–Rossi | Maroon–Foligno–Rossi | Foligno–Kaprizov–Rossi | Brodin–Faber | Mermis–Middleton | Merrill–Addison | Merrill–Faber | Middleton–Faber | Hunt–Faber | Merrill–Mermis | Brodin–Mermis | Mermis–Hunt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome | 1:320.04–0.07 | 1:070.10–0.00 | 2:360.00–0.01 | 1:550.08–0.10 | 1:030.08–0.00 | 3:060.08–0.02 | 4:460.29–0.17 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:230.08–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Oshie–Kuznetsov–Milano | 1:030.09–0.00 | 5:320.23–0.30 | 0:500.00–0.07 | 0:420.10–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 5:170.26–0.27 | 3:270.05–0.08 | 1:000.00–0.07 | 1:050.09–0.00 | ||||||||
| Backstrom–Mantha–McMichael | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:080.03–0.02 | 2:300.00–0.37 | 0:330.00–0.11 | 0:590.09–0.00 | 0:400.04–0.00 | 2:300.03–0.02 | 1:250.05–0.26 | 2:540.04–0.11 | 0:410.00–0.11 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Malenstyn–Phillips–Protas | 1:070.11–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.12 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Ovechkin–Mantha–Strome | 1:320.06–0.00 | 1:230.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 3:080.11–0.00 | 2:250.04–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.26 | 1:540.07–0.10 | 0:380.09–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:240.04–0.03 | 6:440.24–0.48 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 0:500.00–0.00 | 5:060.26–0.35 | 1:100.03–0.00 | 1:150.16–0.12 | 0:480.08–0.00 | 5:520.21–0.19 | 2:410.20–0.14 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:510.08–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jensen–Alexeyev | 1:240.04–0.07 | 0:550.00–0.07 | 2:320.00–0.19 | 0:400.04–0.00 | 1:130.04–0.07 | 1:070.00–0.07 | 3:480.04–0.19 | ||||||||||
| Jensen–Sandin | 0:320.00–0.11 | 1:270.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.11 | ||||||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 1:140.09–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:540.09–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 0:560.06–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:590.06–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Jensen–Fehérváry | 0:430.07–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 28 | 27:11 | 0:58 | 2:14 | 4 | 4 |
 Brock FaberMIN | 24 | 26:38 | 1:07 | 2:17 | 4 | 4 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 25 | 25:32 | 1:01 | 2:18 | 4 | 6 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 27 | 25:22 | 0:56 | 1:56 | 8 | 4 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 29 | 25:16 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 23 | 24:56 | 1:05 | 2:12 | 5 | 1 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 24 | 22:34 | 0:56 | 1:35 | 1 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 25 | 22:23 | 0:54 | 2:19 | 7 | 1 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 25 | 22:00 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 25 | 21:55 | 0:53 | 2:17 | 8 | 1 |
 Marcus JohanssonMIN | 23 | 21:39 | 0:56 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 23 | 20:50 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 23 | 20:26 | 0:53 | 1:59 | 7 | 4 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 27 | 19:56 | 0:44 | 1:51 | 6 | 4 |
 Mats ZuccarelloMIN | 19 | 19:35 | 1:02 | 2:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Marco RossiMIN | 20 | 18:46 | 0:56 | 1:57 | 3 | 3 |
 Dakota MermisMIN | 23 | 18:40 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 0 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 21 | 18:22 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 21 | 18:10 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 0 | 3 |
 Patrick MaroonMIN | 22 | 17:58 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 23 | 17:40 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 4 | 6 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 21 | 17:01 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 0 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 20 | 15:30 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony ManthaWSH | 15 | 13:54 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 2 | 0 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 16 | 13:33 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 4 | 3 |
 Calen AddisonMIN | 13 | 12:48 | 0:59 | 1:33 | 5 | 0 |
 Connor DewarMIN | 15 | 12:06 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 0 | 2 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 14 | 11:55 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 2 | 0 |
 Vinni LettieriMIN | 13 | 11:38 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 0 | 1 |
 Jon MerrillMIN | 12 | 10:46 | 0:54 | 2:02 | 2 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynWSH | 13 | 10:20 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Brandon DuhaimeMIN | 14 | 9:54 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 0 | 1 |
 Alexander AlexeyevWSH | 9 | 7:40 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 1 | 0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 9 | 5:21 | 0:36 | 0:50 | 0 | 0 |
 Daemon HuntMIN | 5 | 4:12 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew PhillipsWSH | 6 | 3:18 | 0:33 | 0:51 | 0 | 0 |