Sun, Oct 29, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 0, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
56%
10%
26%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:15 | 0.09 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:58 | 0.17 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 21:57 | 0.30 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.01 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.16 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:23 | 0.35 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.01 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 16:46 | 0.54 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.01 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.09 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.16 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.16 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.06 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.12 | −0.9 | 59:13 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:07 | 0.59 | 47.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:05 | 0.07 | 29.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.04 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:03 | 0.03 | 58.3% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.17 | 36.1% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.64 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.10 | 62.0% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.30 | 91.7% | +29.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.26 | 85.8% | +11.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:39 | 0.39 | 85.2% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.01 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.19 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.07 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:37 | 0.06 | 25.9% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 23 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.11 | +2.1 | 60:00 |