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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 29, 2023·Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, EdmontonOutdoor game

Calgary Flames 2, Edmonton Oilers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 76% of the time.

EDM winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backlund–Coleman–MangiapaneLindholm–Hunt–DubeKadri–Huberdeau–CoronatoGreer–Sharangovich–DuehrWeegar–HanifinTanev–SolovyovZadorov–GilbertZadorov–SolovyovWeegar–ZadorovZadorov–Hanifin
Draisaitl–Foegele–McDavid6:040.46–0.152:350.23–0.005:110.30–0.152:170.15–0.002:080.23–0.00
Kane–Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins1:480.11–0.085:070.84–0.071:120.07–0.111:270.07–0.073:000.47–0.042:430.40–0.140:510.10–0.08
Brown–McLeod–Holloway1:450.00–0.041:090.00–0.012:050.00–0.010:370.00–0.00
Erne–Ryan–McLeod2:180.00–0.001:050.00–0.001:220.22–0.050:440.00–0.00
Brown–Draisaitl–Holloway0:340.00–0.001:500.28–0.001:180.11–0.000:340.16–0.000:410.18–0.00
Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid0:340.00–0.070:350.00–0.010:380.00–0.07
Brown–McDavid–Holloway0:390.33–0.001:040.00–0.080:350.33–0.000:440.00–0.08
Kane–Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl0:300.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Kane–Nugent-Hopkins–Foegele0:590.15–0.000:310.00–0.00
Kane–Nugent-Hopkins–Brown0:540.05–0.000:320.00–0.00
Ceci–Nurse2:090.15–0.087:400.48–0.002:210.16–0.181:200.19–0.003:450.08–0.004:590.42–0.104:030.51–0.090:580.09–0.15
Ekholm–Bouchard6:400.23–0.252:030.00–0.082:030.06–0.041:040.00–0.007:110.15–0.362:250.27–0.012:220.00–0.000:470.10–0.00
Kulak–Desharnais1:430.61–0.003:530.15–0.210:470.00–0.001:290.60–0.001:070.01–0.002:350.15–0.210:380.00–0.00
Kulak–Broberg1:250.26–0.002:190.00–0.010:320.10–0.002:310.35–0.010:520.17–0.000:470.00–0.00
Desharnais–Broberg1:110.00–0.010:450.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDraisaitl FFoegele FMcDavid FHyman FKane FNugent-Hopkins FBrown FHolloway FMcLeod FRyan FErne FBouchard DEkholm DCeci DNurse DKulak DDesharnais DBroberg DSkinner GBacklund FColeman FMangiapane FLindholm FDube FHunt FHuberdeau FCoronato FKadri FSharangovich FGreer FDuehr FWeegar DHanifin DTanev DSolovyov DZadorov DGilbert DMarkstrom G
EDMCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Noah HanifinCGY2826:110:562:3271
Leon DraisaitlEDM2824:550:532:5239
Connor McDavidEDM2523:260:562:5253
MacKenzie WeegarCGY2922:340:472:0952
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2522:150:532:4653
Cody CeciEDM2522:090:531:3322
Darnell NurseEDM2721:490:481:3322
Elias LindholmCGY2021:471:052:2273
Mikael BacklundCGY2620:590:481:3955
Evander KaneEDM2420:320:511:4333
Mattias EkholmEDM2720:220:451:3938
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2519:500:481:4453
Evan BouchardEDM2019:490:592:0335
Zach HymanEDM2318:250:481:5762
Nikita ZadorovCGY2418:250:462:3812
Dillon DubeCGY2118:100:522:1032
Matt CoronatoCGY2117:220:501:4370
Nazem KadriCGY2117:090:491:4460
Dryden HuntCGY2116:580:482:1072
Ilya SolovyovCGY2616:360:381:3444
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2016:010:481:3370
Chris TanevCGY2615:400:361:3445
Connor BrownEDM1915:190:481:5701
Warren FoegeleEDM1913:490:441:0333
Brett KulakEDM1912:480:401:2804
Blake ColemanCGY1912:420:401:0223
Vincent DesharnaisEDM1812:370:421:0204
Dennis GilbertCGY1812:090:412:3811
Ryan McLeodEDM1710:200:360:5703
Dylan HollowayEDM139:580:461:2801
Yegor SharangovichCGY149:230:401:0310
Derek RyanEDM198:500:281:0115
A.J. GreerCGY118:130:451:0620
Walker DuehrCGY117:480:431:0310
Philip BrobergEDM107:190:441:2801
Adam ErneEDM73:340:310:5012