Sat, Nov 4, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.
28%
9%
56%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:46 | 0.12 | 62.6% | +35.9 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:07 | 0.00 | 76.1% | +18.6 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 21:57 | 0.81 | 48.7% | +21.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 21:38 | 1.09 | 54.7% | +40.9 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.05 | 74.5% | +35.9 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.55 | 80.6% | +26.9 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.37 | 51.4% | +21.6 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:24 | 0.34 | 72.4% | +45.5 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 17:55 | 0.26 | 86.9% | +26.9 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.10 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Erik JohnsonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.01 | 29.3% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:05 | 0.18 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyson JostC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.15 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.09 | 43.2% | +18.6 |
 Ryan JohnsonD · #33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:20 | 0.00 | 39.3% | +21.6 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:50 | 0.08 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 74.9% | 0.0 |
 Devon Levi#27 | W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.33 | −0.7 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:42 | 0.19 | 53.1% | +17.7 |
 John KlingbergD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 25:04 | 0.03 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.02 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:19 | 0.01 | 44.9% | +29.7 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.70 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 19:23 | 0.31 | 43.0% | +18.8 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18:53 | 0.75 | 34.9% | +73.6 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.10 | 25.5% | +91.3 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.19 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.40 | 24.1% | +17.7 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.05 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.07 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.14 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
 William LagessonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.13 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.11 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.12 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Maxime LajoieD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:54 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 3.45 | −1.6 | 59:23 |