Sat, Nov 4, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.
28%
9%
56%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Greenway–Mittelstadt–Peterka | Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Peterka | Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | Greenway–Jost–Krebs | Skinner–Thompson–Peterka | Clifton–Power | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Dahlin–Johnson | Johnson–Bryson | Jokiharju–Power | Johnson–Dahlin | Clifton–Dahlin | Johnson–Power | Clifton–Jokiharju | Dahlin–Power | Bryson–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander | 2:360.00–0.14 | 1:570.10–0.17 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 2:270.00–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 3:140.00–0.07 | 2:180.07–0.16 | 1:170.02–0.00 | 0:450.04–0.00 | 1:550.03–0.13 | 0:340.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Jarnkrok–Marner–Matthews | 4:310.30–0.15 | 0:580.00–0.35 | 0:410.00–0.12 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:430.07–0.44 | 3:030.24–0.31 | 0:590.00–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Domi–Kampf–Knies | 0:520.00–0.06 | 1:370.00–0.07 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:160.00–0.07 | 0:590.00–0.04 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Reaves–Gregor–Kampf | 0:420.06–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.08 | 0:350.15–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.08 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.15–0.00 | 0:410.06–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Reaves–Gregor–Holmberg | 1:020.06–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:380.06–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Domi–Holmberg–Knies | 1:110.04–0.04 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Domi–Gregor–Kampf | 0:410.00–0.03 | 0:310.06–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||
| Tavares–Domi–Holmberg | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 4:480.17–0.33 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 1:240.04–0.01 | 0:310.16–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.08 | 2:010.00–0.10 | 1:410.14–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.08 | 1:510.04–0.01 | 1:020.00–0.07 | 0:470.08–0.09 | 0:560.00–0.08 | |||||
| Giordano–Klingberg | 2:070.00–0.00 | 2:210.08–0.15 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:370.12–0.17 | 3:050.00–0.02 | 2:010.18–0.16 | 0:540.02–0.00 | 1:130.01–0.13 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Lagesson–Lajoie | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.06 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Giordano–Rielly | 1:390.10–0.03 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 1:070.06–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Klingberg–Rielly | 0:350.02–0.05 | 1:260.02–0.04 | 1:000.00–0.12 | 1:070.00–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.12 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.05 | |||||||||||
| Giordano–Brodie | 1:490.13–0.10 | 0:410.00–0.13 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Rielly–Lagesson | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Klingberg–Lagesson | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.19 | 0:340.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Klingberg | 0:380.06–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.35 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:300.06–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Lagesson | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 35 | 26:42 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 3 | 4 |
 John KlingbergTOR | 30 | 25:04 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 5 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 32 | 24:46 | 0:46 | 2:52 | 4 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 30 | 24:07 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 5 | 6 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 33 | 23:04 | 0:42 | 1:57 | 3 | 6 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 27 | 22:19 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 4 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 28 | 21:57 | 0:47 | 2:12 | 6 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 30 | 21:38 | 0:43 | 2:12 | 7 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 5 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 19:23 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 6 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 28 | 19:06 | 0:41 | 1:38 | 4 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 18:53 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 23 | 18:47 | 0:49 | 2:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 25 | 18:46 | 0:45 | 2:12 | 5 | 1 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 23 | 18:24 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 18:11 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 4 | 3 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 23 | 17:55 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 2 | 5 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 26 | 17:14 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 5 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 27 | 17:14 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 21 | 16:33 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 24 | 16:23 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 2 | 5 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 23 | 16:13 | 0:42 | 1:46 | 3 | 3 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 15:02 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 0 | 6 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 22 | 13:05 | 0:36 | 0:59 | 3 | 0 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 16 | 12:59 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 18 | 12:50 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |
 William LagessonTOR | 22 | 12:29 | 0:34 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Noah GregorTOR | 17 | 11:17 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 13 | 9:12 | 0:42 | 2:00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 14 | 8:59 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 0 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 12 | 8:42 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 12 | 8:20 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 3 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 11 | 7:50 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 4 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 9 | 6:27 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Maxime LajoieTOR | 9 | 4:54 | 0:33 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |