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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 4, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Carolina Hurricanes 4, New York Islanders 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 62% of the time.

NYI winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Fast–MartinookAho–Svechnikov–JarvisNoesen–Lemieux–DruryTeravainen–Necas–KotkaniemiNoesen–Teravainen–AhoKotkaniemi–Svechnikov–JarvisNoesen–Teravainen–KotkaniemiTeravainen–Kotkaniemi–JarvisBurns–SlavinSkjei–ChatfieldOrlov–SkjeiOrlov–DeAngeloDeAngelo–ChatfieldSlavin–DeAngeloSkjei–DeAngelo
Lee–Horvat–Barzal2:260.04–0.093:470.50–0.043:470.21–0.160:530.00–0.001:070.00–0.095:490.38–0.294:400.39–0.092:270.01–0.000:340.00–0.00
Pageau–Fasching–Holmstrom2:520.00–0.022:250.00–0.331:230.00–0.001:120.01–0.000:420.02–0.113:020.02–0.343:360.03–0.001:000.00–0.021:250.00–0.00
Palmieri–Nelson–Engvall5:110.13–0.161:500.49–0.031:210.02–0.024:100.13–0.122:030.02–0.030:560.00–0.020:430.17–0.020:490.00–0.09
Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas1:290.02–0.013:480.00–0.341:360.00–0.020:460.00–0.180:500.00–0.012:020.02–0.14
Clutterbuck–Cizikas–Pageau0:380.00–0.00
Lee–Nelson–Barzal0:320.00–0.33
Pulock–Romanov2:430.00–0.342:530.34–0.202:200.00–0.153:530.31–0.141:070.00–0.095:430.24–0.313:420.42–0.091:260.00–0.012:110.11–0.150:300.01–0.10
Aho–Dobson1:050.00–0.004:510.65–0.131:460.00–0.020:300.00–0.003:390.17–0.111:470.00–0.000:560.01–0.021:210.17–0.02
Mayfield–Bolduc3:540.13–0.081:000.00–0.071:230.00–0.023:050.13–0.142:140.00–0.010:590.00–0.02
Mayfield–Dobson1:410.00–0.130:410.00–0.021:250.00–0.162:350.00–0.350:460.02–0.001:240.00–0.000:540.02–0.02
Pulock–Aho1:050.00–0.141:400.07–0.110:500.00–0.03
Dobson–Romanov0:520.00–0.001:180.00–0.00
Mayfield–Romanov0:460.00–0.090:520.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:460.00–0.09
Pulock–Bolduc0:510.00–0.010:490.00–0.01
Mayfield–Pulock1:090.00–0.180:450.00–0.18
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndHolmstrom FFasching FPageau FHorvat FLee FBarzal FEngvall FNelson FPalmieri FMartin FClutterbuck FCizikas FBolduc DMayfield DPulock DRomanov DDobson DAho DSorokin GStaal FMartinook FFast FSvechnikov FAho FJarvis FTeravainen FNecas FKotkaniemi FLemieux FDrury FNoesen FChatfield DSkjei DSlavin DBurns DOrlov DDeAngelo DRaanta G
NYICARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan PulockNYI3426:320:471:49211
Alexander RomanovNYI2925:230:531:4218
Jaccob SlavinCAR2724:090:541:2572
Noah DobsonNYI3123:490:461:3337
Brady SkjeiCAR2923:440:491:3446
Brent BurnsCAR2521:470:521:2572
Mathew BarzalNYI2521:080:511:5024
Sebastian AhoCAR2420:530:521:5942
Scott MayfieldNYI2820:130:431:2225
Bo HorvatNYI2520:060:481:3727
Seth JarvisCAR2219:590:551:5462
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2118:460:541:5553
Dmitry OrlovCAR2218:200:501:2972
Jordan StaalCAR2217:320:481:4133
Anders LeeNYI2117:000:491:2423
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2516:540:411:42112
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2216:130:441:2683
Jordan MartinookCAR2016:050:481:2523
Jesper FastCAR1915:310:491:2524
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2215:160:421:4225
Sebastian AhoNYI2115:090:431:2834
Simon HolmstromNYI1914:400:461:4226
Brock NelsonNYI2014:380:441:1532
Tony DeAngeloCAR1414:281:021:5340
Martin NecasCAR1714:230:511:5562
Kyle PalmieriNYI2013:290:401:1361
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1713:070:461:2663
Cal ClutterbuckNYI1912:550:411:0508
Stefan NoesenCAR1612:450:481:4840
Pierre EngvallNYI1712:300:441:1531
Casey CizikasNYI2112:260:361:0209
Hudson FaschingNYI1612:080:461:3123
Samuel BolducNYI139:250:431:2230
Jack DruryCAR118:440:481:0840
Brendan LemieuxCAR118:040:441:0130
Matt MartinNYI107:170:441:0702