Fri, Nov 10, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 85% of the time.
10%
80%
BUF winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zuccarello–Hartman–Kaprizov | Maroon–Foligno–Eriksson Ek | Duhaime–Lettieri–Dewar | Johansson–Boldy–Rossi | Zuccarello–Kaprizov–Rossi | Brodin–Faber | Spurgeon–Middleton | Bogosian–Mermis | Mermis–Faber | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | 0:570.04–0.01 | 3:240.00–0.19 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 1:550.03–0.03 | 1:000.01–0.01 | 3:380.01–0.19 | ||
| Greenway–Mittelstadt–Peterka | 2:430.00–0.33 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:130.11–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.62 | 2:580.11–0.03 | ||||
| Greenway–Mittelstadt–Rousek | 1:060.15–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 3:230.17–0.00 | 1:370.01–0.00 | ||||
| Skinner–Thompson–Cozens | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:400.15–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.08 | 2:050.15–0.09 | 1:020.03–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:000.10–0.00 | ||
| Skinner–Thompson–Peterka | 0:470.02–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.05 | 1:080.05–0.00 | 2:290.34–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.10 | ||||
| Krebs–Rousek–Savoie | 2:250.05–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:450.05–0.00 | |||||
| Skinner–Mittelstadt–Peterka | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:130.15–0.09 | |||||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Mittelstadt | 0:360.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Mittelstadt–Rousek–Peterka | 0:310.00–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Cozens | 1:100.00–0.24 | 1:100.00–0.24 | |||||||
| Greenway–Thompson–Cozens | 0:360.11–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Johnson | 3:380.07–0.52 | 2:380.00–0.00 | 1:360.04–0.00 | 2:270.00–0.08 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 5:060.05–0.69 | 5:170.05–0.18 | 2:050.04–0.00 | 0:310.10–0.00 |
| Jokiharju–Power | 2:550.01–0.36 | 0:330.00–0.15 | 4:170.20–0.00 | 2:100.08–0.00 | 1:160.05–0.00 | 5:280.20–0.41 | 2:570.11–0.00 | 3:360.05–0.15 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
| Johnson–Clifton | 1:150.01–0.39 | 3:290.00–0.27 | 0:310.06–0.00 | 0:490.11–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:520.12–0.62 | 4:360.06–0.04 | |
| Clifton–Power | 0:350.15–0.00 | 0:380.15–0.00 | |||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 27 | 25:43 | 0:57 | 2:06 | 6 | 3 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 27 | 23:31 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 3 | 6 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 24 | 22:31 | 0:56 | 2:20 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 23 | 22:18 | 0:58 | 1:35 | 7 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 22:18 | 0:54 | 2:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 31 | 21:52 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 7 | 9 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 21:16 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 3 | 4 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 19 | 20:56 | 1:06 | 2:04 | 7 | 1 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 20 | 19:47 | 0:59 | 2:30 | 4 | 5 |
 Brock FaberMIN | 26 | 19:26 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Mats ZuccarelloMIN | 20 | 19:16 | 0:58 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 18:42 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 4 | 0 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 19 | 18:00 | 0:57 | 2:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 21 | 17:46 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 17 | 17:02 | 1:00 | 1:54 | 3 | 0 |
 Marcus JohanssonMIN | 16 | 16:55 | 1:03 | 2:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 20 | 15:47 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 1 | 3 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 19 | 15:47 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 2 | 3 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 20 | 15:29 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 19 | 15:22 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Marco RossiMIN | 15 | 15:02 | 1:00 | 1:29 | 2 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonMIN | 17 | 14:48 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 3 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 14:40 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 1 | 8 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 14:29 | 0:41 | 1:31 | 2 | 6 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 20 | 14:22 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 14 | 14:05 | 1:00 | 2:03 | 5 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianMIN | 17 | 13:30 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Lukas RousekBUF | 13 | 13:14 | 1:01 | 2:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Dakota MermisMIN | 15 | 12:36 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Vinni LettieriMIN | 13 | 11:11 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 2 | 3 |
 Connor DewarMIN | 14 | 10:59 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 13 | 10:29 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 1 | 5 |
 Brandon DuhaimeMIN | 14 | 9:55 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 7 | 6:05 | 0:52 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Matt SavoieBUF | 5 | 3:55 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 |