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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 24, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 8, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

8

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:06Shot by Drury, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 5:53Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 9:08Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 9:28Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 13:38Shot by Motte, saved by Raanta
  7. P1 13:47Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 16:51Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 17:46Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 18:12Goal by Noesen (Drury, Bunting)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Drury · TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Raddysh, Koepke

  11. P1 0:00Period end
  12. P2 0:00Period start
  13. P2 0:02Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P2 0:31Svechnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · TBL Glendening, Motte, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  15. P2 0:37Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  16. P2 1:34Goal by Stamkos (Point, Kucherov)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point

  17. P2 2:07Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P2 3:49Kotkaniemi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Raddysh, Cirelli, Eyssimont

  19. P2 5:40Goal by Kucherov (Hagel, Eyssimont)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho · TBL Kucherov, Sergachev, Hagel, Eyssimont, Jeannot

  20. P2 5:48Bunting: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Noesen, Bunting, Chatfield, Drury · TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Raddysh, Koepke

  21. P2 5:54Goal by Point (Kucherov, Hedman)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skjei, Pesce, Jarvis · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point

  22. P2 9:14Shot by Kucherov, saved by Raanta
  23. P2 9:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Raanta
  24. P2 11:07Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 11:41Paul: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Noesen, Bunting, Chatfield, Drury · TBL Hedman, Motte, Paul, Jeannot, Perbix

  26. P2 14:42Watson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Noesen, Bunting, Chatfield, Drury · TBL Watson, Glendening, Cernak, Sergachev, Koepke

  27. P2 14:45Goal by Bunting (Svechnikov)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · TBL Glendening, Motte, Cernak, Sergachev

  28. P2 14:45Watson: Abuse of officials (10 min)

    On ice: CAR Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · TBL Glendening, Motte, Cernak, Sergachev

  29. P2 15:11Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 15:14Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 15:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Raanta
  32. P2 16:16Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 16:19Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 17:27Motte: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Noesen, Pesce, Bunting, Drury · TBL de Haan, Glendening, Motte, Raddysh, Koepke

  35. P2 17:28Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  36. P2 18:04Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 19:20Shot by Noesen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:36Shot by Chatfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P3 1:03Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P3 3:26Shot by Jeannot, saved by Raanta
  43. P3 5:33Goal by Hagel (Point, Kucherov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · TBL de Haan, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  44. P3 6:53Goal by Glendening, unassisted+6 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · TBL Kucherov, Glendening, Point, Cernak, Sergachev

  45. P3 7:55Perbix: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Noesen, Bunting, Aho, Chatfield, Drury · TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Eyssimont, Jeannot, Perbix

  46. P3 10:41Goal by Point (Perbix, Koepke)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Aho · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix, Koepke

  47. P3 11:42Shot by Paul, saved by Raanta
  48. P3 12:12Jeannot: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Necas, Drury · TBL de Haan, Paul, Cernak, Eyssimont, Jeannot

  49. P3 13:58Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  50. P3 16:45Goal by Kucherov (Hagel, Sergachev)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel

  51. P3 17:17Orlov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Noesen, Bunting, Chatfield, Drury · TBL de Haan, Paul, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Jeannot

  52. P3 18:08Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stamkos)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Pesce, Drury, Jarvis · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point

  53. P3 19:10Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 19:30Watson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Drury · TBL Watson, Cernak, Cirelli, Perbix, Koepke

  55. P3 19:30Watson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Drury · TBL Watson, Cernak, Cirelli, Perbix, Koepke

  56. P3 19:30Bunting: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Drury · TBL Watson, Cernak, Cirelli, Perbix, Koepke

  57. P3 19:30Bunting: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Drury · TBL Watson, Cernak, Cirelli, Perbix, Koepke

  58. P3 19:30Watson: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Bunting, Drury · TBL Watson, Cernak, Cirelli, Perbix, Koepke

  59. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  60. P3 0:00Final5v4