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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 24, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 8, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–HagelStamkos–Cirelli–EyssimontMotte–Paul–JeannotPaul–Eyssimont–JeannotGlendening–Motte–KoepkeWatson–Glendening–KoepkeStamkos–Kucherov–CirelliGlendening–Motte–JeannotCirelli–Eyssimont–JeannotCernak–SergachevHedman–Perbixde Haan–RaddyshHedman–RaddyshSergachev–PerbixRaddysh–Sergachev
Staal–Fast–Martinook4:570.25–0.140:520.00–0.030:330.00–0.000:510.01–0.004:120.00–0.103:010.26–0.081:150.00–0.060:350.00–0.00
Teravainen–Aho–Jarvis1:330.05–0.055:040.19–0.050:380.00–0.010:520.05–0.003:110.14–0.002:040.06–0.051:300.00–0.011:090.09–0.000:380.00–0.000:440.00–0.05
Necas–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov2:110.02–0.310:500.00–0.003:090.07–0.001:190.02–0.002:400.07–0.113:110.05–0.202:140.00–0.00
Noesen–Bunting–Drury0:310.00–0.001:310.00–0.002:340.15–0.001:550.44–0.001:510.27–0.001:270.08–0.004:060.31–0.00
Aho–Necas–Svechnikov0:580.06–0.00
Fast–Martinook–Kotkaniemi1:000.07–0.001:080.07–0.00
Orlov–Chatfield1:310.05–0.002:280.00–0.003:260.02–0.071:380.13–0.001:330.25–0.001:090.07–0.001:080.13–0.004:400.38–0.003:080.13–0.006:070.20–0.040:570.00–0.000:440.02–0.00
Skjei–Pesce4:290.01–0.192:550.10–0.120:380.07–0.000:330.00–0.001:290.01–0.014:350.06–0.105:040.05–0.262:050.00–0.071:070.09–0.000:400.10–0.00
Burns–Slavin3:240.24–0.314:330.09–0.051:160.00–0.000:470.02–0.000:400.18–0.003:380.11–0.113:330.24–0.202:570.18–0.001:020.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAho FJarvis FTeravainen FSvechnikov FKotkaniemi FNecas FMartinook FFast FStaal FDrury FBunting FNoesen FBurns DSlavin DOrlov DChatfield DSkjei DPesce DRaanta GEyssimont FCirelli FStamkos FPaul FJeannot FMotte FKucherov FPoint FHagel FGlendening FKoepke FWatson FCernak DSergachev DPerbix DHedman DRaddysh Dde Haan DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3024:080:481:2543
Mikhail SergachevTBL3023:190:471:21110
Nikita KucherovTBL2620:300:471:5163
Jaccob SlavinCAR2720:120:451:2553
Brent BurnsCAR2719:460:441:2373
Erik CernakTBL2819:460:421:1029
Seth JarvisCAR2419:320:491:2894
Sebastian AhoCAR2218:340:511:3960
Brett PesceCAR2618:340:431:2783
Dmitry OrlovCAR2218:160:501:4011
Brady SkjeiCAR2418:140:461:2873
Steven StamkosTBL1918:050:572:2355
Brayden PointTBL2318:030:471:3652
Anthony CirelliTBL2317:410:461:3425
Brandon HagelTBL2617:260:401:2321
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2217:230:471:1991
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2217:140:471:3711
Martin NecasCAR1816:540:561:4331
Nick PaulTBL1816:450:561:4030
Calvin de HaanTBL2416:440:421:1213
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2115:530:451:2841
Darren RaddyshTBL2015:420:471:2513
Tyler MotteTBL2215:220:421:2017
Nick PerbixTBL2415:030:381:0802
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1814:540:501:2121
Michael EyssimontTBL2114:310:411:1822
Tanner JeannotTBL1813:570:471:3910
Luke GlendeningTBL2313:460:361:10010
Michael BuntingCAR1913:380:431:1821
Jordan StaalCAR2213:330:371:0154
Jesper FastCAR2013:320:411:1151
Jordan MartinookCAR1913:140:421:0951
Stefan NoesenCAR1912:540:411:1821
Jack DruryCAR1611:580:451:2321
Cole KoepkeTBL116:380:361:1002
Austin WatsonTBL104:010:240:4700