Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 86% of the time.
80%
9%
CGY winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:19 | 0.10 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.03 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.02 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.06 | 36.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.02 | 15.3% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.01 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.16 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.09 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:37 | 0.06 | 23.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.06 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.13 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.03 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.07 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.23 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 12:42 | 0.26 | 54.6% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.07 | 36.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:39 | 0.00 | 32.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:37 | 0.05 | 14.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.25 | +0.3 | 57:54 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:42 | 0.03 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 24:16 | 0.12 | 69.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.01 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:21 | 0.09 | 60.4% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.05 | 53.3% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.40 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.04 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:11 | 0.55 | 76.2% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.66 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.37 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.53 | 79.7% | +29.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 16:01 | 0.52 | 72.9% | +49.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:04 | 0.23 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 71.7% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.08 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:47 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 1.44 | −0.6 | 60:00 |