Sat, Dec 9, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.
74%
15%
BUF winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | Anderson–Monahan–Evans | Armia–Stephens–Ylonen | Gallagher–Anderson–Dvorak | Armia–Monahan–Evans | Gallagher–Pearson–Dvorak | Gallagher–Dvorak–Ylonen | Gallagher–Dvorak–Evans | Guhle–Barron | Matheson–Lindstrom | Kovacevic–Struble | Matheson–Kovacevic | Lindstrom–Struble | Lindstrom–Guhle | Matheson–Guhle | Kovacevic–Guhle | Struble–Barron | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 3:490.15–0.05 | 1:020.20–0.00 | 3:140.34–0.07 | 1:050.17–0.00 | 2:260.11–0.20 | 0:510.10–0.05 | 3:330.31–0.10 | 3:490.54–0.07 | 2:030.06–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:370.04–0.00 | 0:460.10–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.20 | ||||
| Cozens–Peterka–Benson | 3:230.27–0.33 | 1:280.10–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 0:460.01–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.10 | 1:590.04–0.04 | 2:350.31–0.23 | 1:180.00–0.06 | |||||||||
| Okposo–Robinson–Krebs | 2:420.09–0.13 | 2:100.09–0.13 | 0:530.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Olofsson–Jost–Rosen | 0:300.00–0.02 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:550.04–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs | 0:300.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||||||
| Okposo–Cozens–Benson | 0:490.00–0.08 | 0:550.07–0.08 | |||||||||||||||
| Jost–Peterka–Benson | 1:020.04–0.11 | 0:400.00–0.11 | |||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 1:140.00–0.08 | 3:250.27–0.33 | 2:230.34–0.00 | 1:560.19–0.00 | 0:320.06–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:440.10–0.00 | 3:500.29–0.10 | 3:470.42–0.13 | 1:160.04–0.23 | 1:340.01–0.00 | 0:370.04–0.00 | 0:380.10–0.00 | |||
| Samuelsson–Power | 8:230.30–0.42 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:530.18–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.20 | 4:020.15–0.29 | 2:390.21–0.00 | 2:520.18–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.20 | 0:440.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Johnson–Clifton | 0:420.20–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.05 | 0:460.01–0.02 | 1:490.05–0.07 | 1:190.28–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Johnson–Dahlin | 1:280.00–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Power | 1:020.06–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.17 | 1:080.06–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 0:330.14–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 0:590.10–0.15 | 1:130.10–0.15 | |||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Samuelsson | 1:140.03–0.11 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.11 | ||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mike MathesonMTL | 28 | 29:48 | 1:04 | 2:23 | 4 | 9 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 29:28 | 1:03 | 2:45 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 25 | 27:01 | 1:05 | 2:29 | 5 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 28 | 24:03 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 7 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 23:54 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 3 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 23 | 23:25 | 1:01 | 2:13 | 5 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 22:46 | 0:57 | 2:05 | 2 | 4 |
 Kaiden GuhleMTL | 27 | 22:34 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 24 | 22:26 | 0:56 | 1:49 | 8 | 2 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 24 | 21:47 | 0:54 | 2:01 | 7 | 0 |
 Justin BarronMTL | 26 | 21:30 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 3 | 3 |
 Jake EvansMTL | 24 | 21:21 | 0:53 | 2:06 | 1 | 6 |
 Johnathan KovacevicMTL | 26 | 20:50 | 0:48 | 2:22 | 0 | 5 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 25 | 20:46 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 19:42 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 6 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 18:50 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 7 | 1 |
 Sean MonahanMTL | 22 | 18:40 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 3 | 5 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 22 | 18:37 | 0:51 | 1:24 | 5 | 0 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 19 | 18:10 | 0:57 | 1:46 | 8 | 0 |
 Christian DvorakMTL | 24 | 17:21 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 1 | 11 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 21 | 16:58 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 1 | 6 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 15:28 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Gustav LindstromMTL | 19 | 15:09 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Joel ArmiaMTL | 21 | 14:33 | 0:42 | 1:45 | 2 | 4 |
 Jayden StrubleMTL | 18 | 14:27 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 16 | 13:21 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 2 | 2 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 16 | 12:52 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 16 | 11:36 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 3 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 11:15 | 0:36 | 1:17 | 1 | 6 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 18 | 11:01 | 0:37 | 1:38 | 3 | 3 |
 Jesse YlonenMTL | 14 | 9:44 | 0:42 | 1:46 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 12 | 9:03 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Mitchell StephensMTL | 13 | 7:54 | 0:36 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Eric RobinsonBUF | 9 | 6:32 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 3 |
 Isak RosenBUF | 6 | 4:12 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Tanner PearsonMTL | 6 | 2:50 | 0:28 | 0:50 | 0 | 1 |