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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 9, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 93% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nyquist–O'Reilly–ForsbergNovak–Sherwood–EvangelistaGlass–Tomasino–ParssinenSissons–Trenin–SmithTrenin–Glass–SmithNovak–Sherwood–SmithMcDonagh–JosiLauzon–CarrierSchenn–BarrieJosi–BarrieMcDonagh–SchennJosi–Lauzon
Nylander–Matthews–Knies5:050.21–0.131:080.05–0.001:490.20–0.031:100.00–0.015:100.54–0.393:510.00–0.051:010.19–0.00
Tavares–Bertuzzi–Marner2:130.00–0.322:310.28–0.001:220.02–0.071:500.00–0.001:520.11–0.003:060.20–0.500:480.05–0.00
Jarnkrok–Domi–Robertson0:560.23–0.000:580.07–0.011:460.09–0.001:580.09–0.061:010.00–0.001:590.13–0.000:350.01–0.00
Reaves–Gregor–Kampf0:500.03–0.000:510.00–0.001:480.11–0.002:040.13–0.001:410.01–0.001:020.00–0.00
Reaves–Bertuzzi–Kampf0:360.00–0.210:430.00–0.21
Brodie–Rielly6:320.00–0.451:110.23–0.001:220.00–0.001:200.00–0.076:400.00–0.392:290.00–0.002:300.03–0.501:190.44–0.00
Lajoie–Timmins2:130.05–0.002:000.40–0.001:450.00–0.001:000.00–0.001:340.32–0.003:480.00–0.002:310.33–0.001:560.12–0.00
McCabe–Benoit1:360.19–0.001:590.28–0.001:310.01–0.031:360.00–0.012:500.33–0.062:330.09–0.052:230.21–0.000:360.00–0.000:480.05–0.00
Rielly–Timmins0:360.00–0.210:430.00–0.21
Lajoie–Benoit0:370.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Rielly–McCabe
McCabe–Timmins0:390.09–0.000:410.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKnies FMatthews FNylander FBertuzzi FTavares FMarner FDomi FRobertson FJarnkrok FGregor FReaves FKampf FRielly DBrodie DBenoit DMcCabe DLajoie DTimmins DSamsonov GForsberg FNyquist FO'Reilly FTrenin FSissons FSmith FParssinen FGlass FTomasino FSherwood FNovak FEvangelista FMcDonagh DJosi DCarrier DLauzon DSchenn DBarrie DLankinen G
TORNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2826:080:561:4153
Roman JosiNSH2625:491:001:5511
Ryan McDonaghNSH2621:420:501:4803
Auston MatthewsTOR2121:411:022:1453
William NylanderTOR2021:321:052:1642
Mitch MarnerTOR2220:580:571:3573
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2520:220:491:1172
TJ BrodieTOR2919:290:401:4036
Conor TimminsTOR2419:110:481:4153
Tyson BarrieNSH1918:571:001:4013
John TavaresTOR1917:590:571:3960
Colton SissonsNSH2517:120:411:4848
Filip ForsbergNSH2116:470:481:2541
Luke SchennNSH2116:280:471:4802
Jeremy LauzonNSH2116:170:471:2015
Jake McCabeTOR2616:150:381:1922
Simon BenoitTOR2516:070:391:1212
Alexandre CarrierNSH2216:000:441:0915
Gustav NyquistNSH2315:390:411:1242
Cole SmithNSH1915:160:481:3105
Matthew KniesTOR1815:120:511:1923
Yakov TreninNSH2115:080:431:1903
Maxime LajoieTOR1914:570:471:3952
Tyler BertuzziTOR1914:270:461:2512
David KampfTOR2114:210:411:1814
Tommy NovakNSH2014:200:431:1741
Calle JarnkrokTOR2114:070:402:1322
Juuso ParssinenNSH1813:580:471:2814
Max DomiTOR1612:380:471:0731
Philip TomasinoNSH1512:330:501:2613
Luke EvangelistaNSH1612:180:461:3131
Cody GlassNSH1912:170:391:0721
Noah GregorTOR1911:250:361:1201
Kiefer SherwoodNSH1611:110:421:0622
Ryan ReavesTOR158:580:360:5910
Nick RobertsonTOR138:350:401:0530