Sat, Dec 16, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.
73%
16%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:06 | 0.17 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 23:29 | 0.30 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.40 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.06 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 18:51 | 0.66 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.03 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.09 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:42 | 0.28 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.08 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.26 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.41 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.02 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.06 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:49 | 0.04 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:52 | 0.08 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:21 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:18 | 0.00 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 14 | 10 | 4 | .714 | 2.01 | −2.0 | 21:56 | |
| – | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.93 | −0.1 | 37:01 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:22 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.13 | 66.4% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:25 | 0.06 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:14 | 0.44 | 50.9% | +1.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:44 | 0.26 | 72.5% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.00 | 77.7% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.04 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.75 | 19.1% | +0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 16:31 | 1.61 | 71.2% | +1.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.68 | 57.3% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.11 | 56.1% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.11 | 91.1% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:14 | 0.30 | 40.0% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 10:56 | 0.32 | 73.1% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.11 | 50.1% | +7.6 |
| W | 38 | 38 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.94 | +2.9 | 60:00 |