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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 9

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

9

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 77% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 0:48Shot by Quinn, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 2:27Goal by Greenway (Clifton, Benson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Benson · TOR Jarnkrok, Domi, Timmins, Benoit, Robertson

  5. P1 5:13Shot by Greenway, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 5:19Shot by Benson, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 6:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 6:45Shot by Gregor, saved by Levi
  9. P1 7:28Goal by Matthews, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies

  10. P1 7:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 9:44Shot by Liljegren, saved by Levi
  12. P1 10:12Samuelsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  13. P1 10:16Shot by Marner, saved by Levi4v5
  14. P1 10:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Levi4v5
  15. P1 10:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Levi4v5
  16. P1 11:06Shot by Nylander, saved by Levi4v5
  17. P1 11:51Quinn: High sticking (2 min)4v6

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Dahlin, Quinn · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Timmins

  18. P1 12:18Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Samsonov4v5
  19. P1 12:39Goal by Domi (Rielly, Liljegren)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Dahlin, Cozens · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Liljegren

  20. P1 12:47Shot by Kampf, saved by Levi
  21. P1 13:44Goal by Power (Benson, Mittelstadt)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Mittelstadt, Johnson, Power, Benson · TOR Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Benoit, McMann

  22. P1 15:02Shot by Clifton, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 15:51Goal by Skinner (Tuch)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Power · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Marner

  24. P1 17:23Shot by Krebs, saved by Samsonov
  25. P1 18:22Shot by Quinn, saved by Samsonov
  26. P1 18:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Levi
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:22Tuch: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies

  30. P2 1:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Levi4v5
  31. P2 2:07Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Levi4v5
  32. P2 2:41Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 3:39Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 3:42Benoit: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · TOR Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Benoit, Knies

  35. P2 4:34Gregor: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Benson · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Gregor, Liljegren

  36. P2 4:44Goal by Dahlin (Thompson, Tuch)5v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Kampf

  37. P2 5:33Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  38. P2 5:42Goal by Jarnkrok (Nylander, Liljegren)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Liljegren

  39. P2 6:35Shot by Benson, saved by Samsonov
  40. P2 8:22Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Skinner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin, Power · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies

  41. P2 9:16Quinn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TOR Gregor, Timmins, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  42. P2 11:04Goal by Okposo, unassisted4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Clifton, Tuch, Dahlin · TOR Jarnkrok, Bertuzzi, Domi, Timmins, Liljegren

  43. P2 11:18Shot by McCabe, saved by Levi
  44. P2 11:26Shot by Knies, saved by Levi
  45. P2 15:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Jones
  46. P2 15:53Shot by Cozens, saved by Jones
  47. P2 15:56McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Benson · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Matthews, Timmins, Knies

  48. P2 16:19Shot by Skinner, saved by Jones5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:24Shot by Thompson, saved by Jones
  52. P3 0:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Levi
  53. P3 1:35Shot by Liljegren, saved by Levi
  54. P3 2:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Levi
  55. P3 2:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Levi
  56. P3 2:38Shot by Knies, saved by Levi
  57. P3 3:25Shot by Brodie, saved by Levi
  58. P3 4:30Shot by Clifton, saved by Jones
  59. P3 4:35Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TOR Tavares, Bertuzzi, Marner, Timmins, Benoit

  60. P3 6:13Shot by Thompson, saved by Jones5v4
  61. P3 7:13Shot by Okposo, saved by Jones
  62. P3 7:22Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Levi
  63. P3 9:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Levi
  64. P3 9:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Levi
  65. P3 11:08Goal by Quinn (Peterka, Clifton)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TOR Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Marner

  66. P3 11:37Shot by Krebs, saved by Jones
  67. P3 12:23Goal by Skinner (Tuch, Thompson)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Thompson, Power · TOR Rielly, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf, McMann

  68. P3 13:05Shot by Benoit, saved by Levi
  69. P3 14:20Shot by Peterka, saved by Jones
  70. P3 15:02Goal by Okposo (Krebs, Johnson)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Olofsson, Krebs, Johnson · TOR Jarnkrok, Domi, Timmins, Benoit, Robertson

  71. P3 17:31Shot by Robertson, saved by Levi
  72. P3 18:40Shot by Thompson, saved by Jones
  73. P3 18:55Domi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Thompson, Power, Benson · TOR Bertuzzi, Domi, Liljegren, Benoit, Knies

  74. P3 18:57Shot by Liljegren, saved by Levi5v4
  75. P3 19:36Shot by Power, saved by Jones5v4
  76. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  77. P3 0:00Final5v4