Thu, Dec 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 77% of the time.
69%
18%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 23:30 | 0.17 | 21.1% | +31.7 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.09 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:26 | 0.02 | 31.5% | +17.9 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.06 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.05 | 14.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.09 | 45.0% | +17.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:47 | 0.49 | 8.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:18 | 0.67 | 55.6% | +13.8 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.13 | 2.7% | +13.8 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.06 | 7.7% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.02 | 12.3% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.01 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.20 | 24.9% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.06 | 2.2% | +17.9 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.10 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:14 | 0.01 | 3.3% | 0.0 |
 Martin Jones#31 | – | 15 | 11 | 4 | .733 | 2.28 | −1.7 | 31:38 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | L | 19 | 14 | 5 | .737 | 1.61 | −3.4 | 28:12 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 2 | 23:29 | 0.17 | 76.3% | +16.7 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.25 | 76.6% | +12.6 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.05 | 68.4% | +17.1 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.16 | 88.5% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.13 | 74.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.53 | 92.6% | +33.1 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 92.8% | +16.7 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.51 | 87.7% | +0.6 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.26 | 87.8% | +0.6 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.17 | 91.1% | +16.5 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.07 | 46.4% | +44.3 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15:20 | 0.37 | 58.9% | +26.0 |
 Erik JohnsonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:26 | 0.47 | 44.9% | +31.7 |
 Ryan JohnsonD · #33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.01 | 75.0% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 11:57 | 0.41 | 76.2% | +6.6 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 9:25 | 0.11 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:24 | 0.19 | 41.3% | 0.0 |
 Devon Levi#27 | W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.22 | −0.8 | 60:00 |