Thu, Dec 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 77% of the time.
69%
18%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Bertuzzi–Marner | Nylander–Matthews–Knies | Gregor–Kampf–McMann | Jarnkrok–Domi–Robertson | Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander | Brodie–McCabe | Rielly–Liljegren | Timmins–Benoit | Brodie–Rielly | Brodie–Liljegren | Liljegren–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenway–Mittelstadt–Benson | 1:420.31–0.00 | 3:000.12–0.08 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 3:240.22–0.00 | 2:230.19–0.06 | 3:400.31–0.00 | 2:550.11–0.02 | ||||
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 1:210.04–0.05 | 3:470.13–0.10 | 2:400.35–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:420.00–0.10 | 3:550.37–0.08 | 0:380.08–0.00 | ||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 5:480.61–0.06 | 1:200.00–0.07 | 0:410.08–0.00 | 4:260.71–0.06 | 1:290.00–0.07 | 1:160.01–0.00 | |||||
| Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs | 3:320.00–0.22 | 2:340.25–0.01 | 2:060.00–0.20 | 2:120.15–0.02 | 1:010.10–0.00 | 0:380.09–0.00 | 0:590.03–0.00 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 2:540.21–0.00 | 6:560.25–0.19 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 1:500.13–0.00 | 6:040.31–0.17 | 4:230.17–0.11 | 1:270.07–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||
| Clifton–Power | 5:090.66–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.43 | 1:350.28–0.00 | 1:340.19–0.00 | 2:480.75–0.01 | 4:010.56–0.04 | 2:030.01–0.05 | 0:560.08–0.39 | |||
| Johnson–Johnson | 2:000.00–0.00 | 3:420.21–0.02 | 1:340.07–0.00 | 1:330.10–0.00 | 1:150.10–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.16 | 0:400.01–0.00 | ||||
| Johnson–Power | 1:440.00–0.05 | 1:040.07–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.05 | 0:330.02–0.00 | 1:140.10–0.00 | ||||||
| Johnson–Clifton | 2:180.00–0.22 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.20 | 1:250.00–0.02 | 0:330.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Clifton–Dahlin | 0:410.12–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 29 | 23:30 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 29 | 23:29 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 7 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 31 | 22:45 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 2 | 3 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 28 | 22:36 | 0:48 | 2:14 | 1 | 12 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 22:26 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 28 | 20:53 | 0:45 | 1:50 | 1 | 10 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 21 | 19:48 | 0:57 | 1:39 | 4 | 5 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 24 | 19:44 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 3 | 0 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 19:06 | 0:52 | 1:18 | 5 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 28 | 19:03 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 18:19 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 2 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 18 | 17:47 | 0:59 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 19 | 17:41 | 0:56 | 1:45 | 3 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 20 | 17:32 | 0:53 | 1:19 | 5 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 17:18 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 2 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 19 | 16:33 | 0:52 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 17 | 16:31 | 0:58 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 19 | 16:29 | 0:52 | 1:21 | 1 | 6 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 16:14 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 4 | 0 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 21 | 15:24 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 15:20 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 18 | 15:14 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 2 | 3 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 17 | 14:42 | 0:52 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 22 | 14:28 | 0:39 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 20 | 14:26 | 0:43 | 1:54 | 4 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 13:57 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 8 |
 Noah GregorTOR | 19 | 13:02 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 1 | 5 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 15 | 12:51 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 3 | 0 |
 Max DomiTOR | 17 | 12:48 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 18 | 12:29 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 19 | 12:26 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 15 | 11:57 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 0 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 14 | 10:24 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 11 | 9:25 | 0:51 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 12 | 9:24 | 0:47 | 0:58 | 2 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 12 | 9:14 | 0:46 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |