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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 23, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 3, New York Rangers 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 57% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–ThompsonGreenway–Mittelstadt–BensonCozens–Quinn–PeterkaOkposo–Olofsson–KrebsTuch–Thompson–QuinnMittelstadt–Peterka–BensonOkposo–Mittelstadt–PeterkaSamuelsson–DahlinClifton–PowerJohnson–JohnsonSamuelsson–PowerDahlin–JohnsonClifton–DahlinClifton–SamuelssonSamuelsson–JohnsonClifton–JohnsonDahlin–Power
Wheeler–Kreider–Zibanejad3:460.03–0.353:260.24–0.021:290.00–0.240:430.00–0.020:340.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:470.24–0.016:130.00–0.032:540.09–0.590:330.03–0.000:360.00–0.00
Trocheck–Panarin–Lafrenière1:450.13–0.002:220.21–0.101:270.13–0.142:040.10–0.004:360.14–0.112:410.16–0.051:210.05–0.180:430.01–0.000:570.08–0.000:440.01–0.09
Pitlick–Goodrow–Vesey4:340.11–0.170:470.00–0.070:350.00–0.003:590.07–0.131:230.00–0.120:350.00–0.001:340.10–0.070:340.01–0.00
Bonino–Brodzinski–Cuylle1:530.07–0.151:570.02–0.202:560.05–0.031:170.00–0.020:320.01–0.003:260.13–0.190:310.00–0.010:340.00–0.170:500.00–0.00
Trocheck–Goodrow–Vesey1:210.00–0.420:300.00–0.001:020.00–0.321:070.08–0.10
Zibanejad–Panarin–Lafrenière
Trouba–Miller8:090.31–0.651:240.15–0.070:480.00–0.001:370.10–0.010:590.00–0.025:250.15–0.455:340.23–0.291:200.15–0.001:130.00–0.011:190.07–0.001:290.05–0.000:550.00–0.020:440.00–0.00
Fox–Lindgren4:230.09–0.015:590.34–0.190:450.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:100.00–0.004:490.28–0.013:220.00–0.012:400.08–0.112:100.09–0.011:520.02–0.131:040.03–0.060:450.00–0.001:020.00–0.00
Gustafsson–Schneider2:240.07–0.600:400.00–0.164:200.04–0.272:310.06–0.132:420.01–0.001:100.04–0.071:330.00–0.591:010.00–0.280:470.01–0.09
Lindgren–Miller0:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGoodrow FVesey FPitlick FKreider FZibanejad FWheeler FLafrenière FTrocheck FPanarin FBonino FBrodzinski FCuylle FTrouba DMiller DLindgren DFox DGustafsson DSchneider DShesterkin GSkinner FThompson FTuch FQuinn FPeterka FCozens FBenson FMittelstadt FGreenway FKrebs FOkposo FOlofsson FSamuelsson DDahlin DPower DClifton DJohnson DJohnson DLuukkonen G
NYRBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mattias SamuelssonBUF3528:350:491:21710
Rasmus DahlinBUF3527:080:471:3755
Adam FoxNYR2726:040:582:1174
Connor CliftonBUF2824:120:522:0616
K'Andre MillerNYR2823:550:511:2824
Mika ZibanejadNYR2523:250:561:4663
Owen PowerBUF2922:140:461:4138
Jacob TroubaNYR2621:350:502:0723
Vincent TrocheckNYR2321:190:562:1263
Ryan LindgrenNYR2121:171:012:0935
Chris KreiderNYR2621:040:491:4083
Artemi PanarinNYR1919:451:022:1840
Alex TuchBUF2419:000:481:4463
Jordan GreenwayBUF2518:580:461:3039
Tage ThompsonBUF2218:480:511:3351
Casey MittelstadtBUF2217:330:481:4337
Alexis LafrenièreNYR1816:300:551:2440
Dylan CozensBUF2215:590:441:1715
Blake WheelerNYR2015:570:481:3141
Jimmy VeseyNYR2115:100:431:3115
Jack QuinnBUF2015:100:461:1922
Barclay GoodrowNYR2014:250:431:3314
JJ PeterkaBUF1813:500:461:1912
Zach BensonBUF2013:370:411:3925
Jeff SkinnerBUF1713:050:462:0631
Ryan JohnsonBUF1912:420:401:2321
Kyle OkposoBUF1512:300:501:4632
Erik GustafssonNYR1712:220:441:1032
Tyler PitlickNYR1711:040:391:0400
Braden SchneiderNYR1510:590:441:2922
Jonny BrodzinskiNYR1610:490:411:0026
Peyton KrebsBUF1410:440:461:2832
Will CuylleNYR1410:410:461:0414
Victor OlofssonBUF1410:110:441:5821
Nick BoninoNYR1610:030:381:0226
Erik JohnsonBUF117:100:391:3011