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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 29, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Lauzon, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Glass, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 1:57Shot by Glass, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 2:16Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lyon
  6. P1 2:30Raymond: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · NSH McDonagh, Schenn, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg

  7. P1 2:37Shot by Copp, saved by Saros4v5
  8. P1 4:02Goal by Larkin, unassisted4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen · NSH McDonagh, Novak, Tomasino, Parssinen, Evangelista

  9. P1 4:35Shot by Trenin, saved by Lyon
  10. P1 5:43Shot by Schenn, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 8:30Shot by Sissons, saved by Lyon
  12. P1 10:29Shot by Petry, saved by Saros
  13. P1 10:43Goal by Forsberg (Nyquist)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Compher, Fabbri, DeBrincat · NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier

  14. P1 10:56Shot by McCarron, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 11:37Shot by McCarron, saved by Lyon
  16. P1 11:44Shot by Sissons, saved by Lyon
  17. P1 12:02Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lyon
  18. P1 12:52Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Lyon
  19. P1 13:20Shot by Perron, saved by Saros
  20. P1 14:10Shot by Sprong, saved by Saros
  21. P1 14:26Tomasino: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Sprong, Czarnik · NSH McCarron, Lauzon, Carrier, Tomasino, Smith

  22. P1 14:44Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Saros5v4
  23. P1 14:46Shot by Compher, saved by Saros5v4
  24. P1 14:48Shot by Kane, saved by Saros5v4
  25. P1 15:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros5v4
  26. P1 15:39Shot by Carrier, saved by Lyon5v4
  27. P1 16:48Shot by Fabbri, saved by Saros
  28. P1 19:25Shot by Copp, saved by Saros
  29. P1 19:38Goal by Walman (Rasmussen, Fabbri)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Fabbri, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider · NSH McDonagh, Josi, McCarron, Tomasino, Parssinen

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:05Shot by Glass, saved by Lyon
  33. P2 2:02Shot by Copp, saved by Saros
  34. P2 2:29Shot by McCarron, saved by Lyon
  35. P2 2:30Shot by McCarron, saved by Lyon
  36. P2 2:31Shot by Smith, saved by Lyon
  37. P2 2:35Shot by Fabbro, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 3:10Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lyon
  39. P2 6:29Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Saros
  40. P2 7:28Shot by McCarron, saved by Lyon
  41. P2 7:32Shot by Smith, saved by Lyon
  42. P2 11:11Fabbro: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · NSH Josi, McCarron, Fabbro, Tomasino, Smith

  43. P2 11:40Goal by Nyquist, unassisted5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Gostisbehere, Compher, Larkin, DeBrincat · NSH McDonagh, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Lauzon

  44. P2 12:46Shot by Fabbri, saved by Saros5v4
  45. P2 13:49Goal by Forsberg (Novak)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Maatta, Copp, Fabbri, Walman, Raymond · NSH Josi, Forsberg, Novak, Fabbro, Parssinen

  46. P2 17:47Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lyon
  47. P2 19:06Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  48. P2 19:07Fabbro: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat · NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen

  49. P2 19:07Compher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat · NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen

  50. P2 19:07Compher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat · NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen

  51. P2 19:07Josi: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat · NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen

  52. P2 19:07DeBrincat: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat · NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen

  53. P2 19:32Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Lyon4v5
  54. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 3:09Shot by Evangelista, saved by Lyon
  57. P3 4:48Shot by Trenin, saved by Lyon
  58. P3 5:15Shot by Copp, saved by Saros
  59. P3 7:15Shot by Chiarot, saved by Saros
  60. P3 9:29Goal by DeBrincat (Compher, Kane)+31 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Kane, Chiarot, Compher, DeBrincat · NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier

  61. P3 10:01Shot by Josi, saved by Lyon
  62. P3 10:51Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Saros
  63. P3 11:13Goal by Walman (DeBrincat, Kane)+32 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider · NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith

  64. P3 12:20Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lyon
  65. P3 12:24Goal by Nyquist (Forsberg, Schenn)+33 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · NSH McDonagh, Schenn, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg

  66. P3 12:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros
  67. P3 12:58Shot by Sissons, saved by Lyon
  68. P3 13:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Lyon
  69. P3 14:56Shot by Trenin, saved by Lyon
  70. P3 16:11Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lyon
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 0:42Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lyon3v3
  74. OT 0:53Shot by Sissons, saved by Lyon3v3
  75. OT 2:13Goal by Raymond (DeBrincat, Walman)3v3+45 pts WP

    On ice: DET Walman, DeBrincat, Raymond · NSH McDonagh, O'Reilly, Forsberg

  76. OT 2:13Period end3v3
  77. OT 2:13Final4v4