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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 29, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nyquist–O'Reilly–ForsbergSissons–Trenin–SmithNovak–Glass–EvangelistaMcCarron–Tomasino–ParssinenMcCarron–Tomasino–SmithNovak–Glass–ParssinenSissons–Trenin–EvangelistaSissons–Trenin–ParssinenNovak–Parssinen–EvangelistaJosi–FabbroLauzon–CarrierMcDonagh–SchennMcDonagh–JosiMcDonagh–CarrierLauzon–FabbroSchenn–LauzonJosi–Lauzon
Perron–Larkin–Raymond8:020.18–0.682:100.04–0.000:580.03–0.030:310.07–0.000:320.00–0.002:490.12–0.204:570.13–0.013:080.04–0.561:310.03–0.000:300.00–0.00
Kane–Compher–DeBrincat1:000.12–0.002:210.03–0.071:400.07–0.020:580.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:200.06–0.000:330.00–0.003:470.08–0.051:450.14–0.002:540.05–0.100:370.00–0.000:410.06–0.00
Copp–Fabbri–Rasmussen0:540.30–0.002:460.26–0.060:350.00–0.030:470.00–0.292:480.01–0.870:500.00–0.041:110.00–0.151:200.27–0.000:320.00–0.040:380.03–0.00
Sprong–Czarnik–Berggren0:300.00–0.002:100.15–0.321:320.00–0.031:360.15–0.141:200.00–0.17
Sprong–Rasmussen–Berggren0:400.00–0.060:340.00–0.000:390.00–0.060:340.00–0.00
Kane–Copp–Fabbri0:390.04–0.130:380.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:390.04–0.13
Copp–Rasmussen–Berggren1:020.00–0.00
Perron–Compher–Raymond0:430.09–0.000:330.09–0.00
Petry–Chiarot3:570.14–0.383:100.00–0.010:310.02–0.001:210.09–0.061:020.00–0.171:190.03–0.290:320.00–0.000:370.00–0.005:590.09–0.393:480.09–0.153:250.00–0.650:440.00–0.000:430.00–0.040:300.03–0.000:460.09–0.00
Walman–Seider6:000.26–0.581:040.07–0.000:430.00–0.061:090.17–0.000:350.07–0.031:030.00–0.012:160.07–0.275:140.28–0.103:060.09–0.321:530.20–0.001:000.00–0.000:460.08–0.05
Maatta–Gostisbehere1:290.00–0.062:050.08–0.031:110.00–0.002:100.15–0.140:360.00–0.001:430.00–0.003:470.09–0.632:190.15–0.143:390.05–0.041:230.10–0.14
Petry–Gostisbehere0:430.00–0.020:410.00–0.001:070.00–0.02
Chiarot–Maatta0:390.00–0.130:390.00–0.13
Maatta–Walman
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRaymond FPerron FLarkin FCompher FKane FDeBrincat FCopp FFabbri FRasmussen FCzarnik FSprong FBerggren FSeider DWalman DMaatta DGostisbehere DChiarot DPetry DLyon GForsberg FNyquist FO'Reilly FSissons FTrenin FEvangelista FParssinen FNovak FGlass FTomasino FSmith FMcCarron FMcDonagh DJosi DLauzon DCarrier DFabbro DSchenn DSaros G
DETNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghNSH3126:140:511:3334
Roman JosiNSH2523:130:562:0571
Moritz SeiderDET3122:510:441:5656
Dylan LarkinDET2622:220:521:2247
Jeff PetryDET2522:220:541:4126
Ben ChiarotDET2522:160:531:4115
Jeremy LauzonNSH2520:540:501:5003
Lucas RaymondDET2520:450:502:0936
Filip ForsbergNSH2420:310:511:4042
David PerronDET2419:370:491:3237
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2519:340:471:3043
Jake WalmanDET3119:310:381:0955
Alexandre CarrierNSH2617:530:411:0312
Gustav NyquistNSH2217:430:481:5133
Dante FabbroNSH2117:220:501:3141
Patrick KaneDET2317:070:451:3033
Cole SmithNSH2217:070:471:2522
Colton SissonsNSH2416:360:421:1034
Shayne GostisbehereDET1916:280:521:5732
J.T. CompherDET2316:070:421:4245
Andrew CoppDET2215:550:431:0823
Yakov TreninNSH2215:270:421:1923
Michael RasmussenDET2115:110:431:0821
Alex DeBrincatDET2115:060:431:3343
Olli MaattaDET1915:030:481:5422
Robby FabbriDET1814:560:502:0911
Juuso ParssinenNSH1914:460:471:1240
Luke SchennNSH1914:430:461:0621
Cody GlassNSH1613:280:511:4140
Michael McCarronNSH1713:120:471:1820
Tommy NovakNSH1411:510:512:0260
Philip TomasinoNSH1511:330:461:0611
Daniel SprongDET1411:020:471:5802
Luke EvangelistaNSH1210:320:531:4740
Jonatan BerggrenDET149:140:400:5612
Austin CzarnikDET126:460:340:5002