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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 30, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:47Knies: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies · CAR Burns, Slavin, Bunting, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  3. P1 1:52Shot by Aho, saved by Jones4v5
  4. P1 2:24Goal by Bunting (Aho, Svechnikov)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Gregor, Benoit · CAR Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  5. P1 3:27Shot by Giordano, saved by Kochetkov
  6. P1 3:39Shot by Martinook, saved by Jones
  7. P1 5:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  8. P1 6:08Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  9. P1 6:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Kochetkov
  10. P1 6:52Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Kochetkov
  11. P1 6:55Orlov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander · CAR Orlov, Bunting, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  12. P1 9:15Shot by Chatfield, saved by Jones
  13. P1 9:17Shot by Noesen, saved by Jones
  14. P1 10:22Shot by Marner, saved by Kochetkov
  15. P1 10:47Shot by Aho, saved by Jones
  16. P1 10:51Shot by Skjei, saved by Jones
  17. P1 11:10Shot by Marner, saved by Kochetkov
  18. P1 13:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov
  19. P1 15:50Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Jones
  20. P1 15:53Necas: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Domi, Benoit, Robertson · CAR Orlov, Bunting, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  21. P1 15:53McCabe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Domi, Benoit, Robertson · CAR Orlov, Bunting, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  22. P1 18:04Shot by Rielly, saved by Kochetkov
  23. P1 18:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov
  24. P1 19:24Shot by Burns, saved by Jones
  25. P1 19:33Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Kochetkov
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 2:54Shot by Jarvis, saved by Jones
  29. P2 3:14Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov
  30. P2 5:34Shot by Chatfield, saved by Jones
  31. P2 5:39Shot by Skjei, saved by Jones
  32. P2 8:50Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Jones
  33. P2 9:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  34. P2 9:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  35. P2 9:42Kotkaniemi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Bunting, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  36. P2 9:44Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  37. P2 10:05Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  38. P2 10:44Shot by Slavin, saved by Jones5v4
  39. P2 13:08Shot by Knies, saved by Kochetkov
  40. P2 13:12Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kochetkov
  41. P2 13:40Domi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Domi, Liljegren, Robertson · CAR Staal, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Jarvis

  42. P2 13:52Goal by Jarvis (Svechnikov, Aho)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Marner · CAR Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  43. P2 14:03Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Kochetkov
  44. P2 14:11Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov
  45. P2 15:04Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Jones
  46. P2 17:31Shot by Jarvis, saved by Jones
  47. P2 17:55Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Jones
  48. P2 18:24Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov
  49. P2 19:10Matthews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies · CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Jarvis

  50. P2 19:17Shot by Bunting, saved by Jones4v5
  51. P2 19:29Shot by Jarvis, saved by Jones4v5
  52. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:20Shot by Aho, saved by Jones
  55. P3 4:16Goal by Liljegren (Domi, Giordano)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Domi, Liljegren, Robertson · CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Jarvis

  56. P3 6:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  57. P3 8:06Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Kochetkov
  58. P3 8:26Shot by Noesen, saved by Jones
  59. P3 9:00Shot by Marner, saved by Kochetkov
  60. P3 10:07Burns: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gregor, Holmberg, Benoit, McMann · CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Necas, Drury

  61. P3 12:19Shot by Burns, saved by Jones
  62. P3 12:49Shot by Bunting, saved by Jones
  63. P3 15:45Marner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Domi, Marner, Matthews · CAR Orlov, Noesen, Chatfield, Necas, Drury

  64. P3 16:10Shot by Burns, saved by Jones4v5
  65. P3 16:26Shot by Burns, saved by Jones4v5
  66. P3 17:47Shot by Pesce, saved by Jones
  67. P3 19:05Goal by Aho, unassisted6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  68. P3 19:46Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kochetkov
  69. P3 19:50Goal by Robertson (Domi, Liljegren)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Domi, Liljegren, Robertson · CAR Staal, Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Jarvis

  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final6v5