Sat, Dec 30, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.
29%
11%
9%
52%
TOR winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Martinook–Jarvis | Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov | Noesen–Necas–Drury | Bunting–Necas–Kotkaniemi | Teravainen–Bunting–Kotkaniemi | Fast–Noesen–Drury | Noesen–Bunting–Kotkaniemi | Skjei–Pesce | Burns–Slavin | Orlov–Chatfield | Slavin–Chatfield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander | 3:360.13–0.00 | 3:250.02–0.15 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:510.38–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 4:160.24–0.04 | 2:540.13–0.00 | 3:280.39–0.12 | |||
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 2:140.07–0.00 | 4:290.43–0.06 | 0:340.08–0.00 | 0:540.17–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 4:160.19–0.09 | 2:500.08–0.02 | 2:260.00–0.14 | |||
| Gregor–Holmberg–McMann | 0:540.00–0.06 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.13 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 2:320.04–0.17 | 1:530.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.13 | ||
| Jarnkrok–Domi–Robertson | 2:530.07–0.14 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.09 | 0:320.12–0.00 | 1:440.05–0.14 | 2:300.06–0.09 | 2:390.12–0.10 | ||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 1:070.03–0.00 | 4:540.33–0.01 | 2:050.09–0.00 | 0:460.46–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:400.12–0.00 | 5:260.33–0.02 | 1:240.11–0.00 | 4:510.42–0.14 | ||
| McCabe–Benoit | 1:270.02–0.14 | 1:550.07–0.07 | 2:230.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.12 | 1:360.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.06 | 4:270.02–0.31 | 2:140.00–0.09 | 3:180.00–0.10 | |
| Giordano–Liljegren | 4:490.18–0.07 | 1:180.00–0.13 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 1:230.02–0.00 | 6:210.18–0.18 | 1:540.00–0.12 | ||||
| McCabe–Liljegren | 1:130.08–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Liljegren | 0:590.05–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 0:430.00–0.12 | 0:460.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| Giordano–McCabe | 0:580.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Benoit | 0:510.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 25:16 | 0:56 | 1:53 | 8 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 23:12 | 0:58 | 1:51 | 7 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 22:29 | 0:56 | 1:47 | 7 | 3 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 26 | 22:17 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 28 | 21:38 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 2 | 8 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 26 | 21:01 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 27 | 20:50 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 3 | 7 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 27 | 20:45 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 3 | 6 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 20:37 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 5 | 7 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 27 | 19:30 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 19:02 | 0:54 | 2:01 | 4 | 6 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 18:53 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 25 | 18:52 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 27 | 18:43 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 9 | 1 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 24 | 18:13 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 3 | 7 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 21 | 17:38 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 4 | 4 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 25 | 17:29 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 3 | 2 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 25 | 16:48 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 7 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 25 | 16:41 | 0:40 | 0:55 | 0 | 9 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 18 | 15:36 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 24 | 15:35 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 5 |
 Dmitry OrlovCAR | 19 | 15:24 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Stefan NoesenCAR | 21 | 14:07 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 1 | 3 |
 Jack DruryCAR | 18 | 13:55 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 17 | 13:37 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 20 | 13:32 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 0 | 1 |
 Michael BuntingCAR | 18 | 13:28 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 5 | 1 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 19 | 13:20 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 19 | 12:44 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Max DomiTOR | 16 | 11:55 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 1 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 15 | 10:48 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Noah GregorTOR | 16 | 10:44 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 15 | 9:58 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 3 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 13 | 9:42 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 12 | 8:20 | 0:42 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 5 | 3:38 | 0:44 | 0:52 | 0 | 1 |