Sat, Dec 30, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.
29%
11%
9%
52%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brent BurnsD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:17 | 0.10 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:38 | 0.56 | 58.3% | +16.6 |
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.01 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 Brett PesceD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.07 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Brady SkjeiD · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.02 | 32.1% | 0.0 |
 Teuvo TeravainenC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 18:43 | 0.87 | 33.9% | +33.8 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.07 | 23.6% | +30.3 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.12 | 55.1% | 0.0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.03 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.07 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Dmitry OrlovD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Stefan NoesenRW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.12 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:28 | 0.66 | 48.3% | +13.7 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.10 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Jesper FastRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:38 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Pyotr Kochetkov#52 | W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.21 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:16 | 0.24 | 81.8% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:12 | 0.26 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:29 | 0.34 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:37 | 0.42 | 82.3% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:30 | 0.08 | 50.9% | +17.5 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.10 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.01 | 81.5% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.22 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.00 | 32.1% | +16.2 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.32 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.13 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 39.3% | +17.5 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 10:48 | 0.03 | 36.3% | +1.3 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 12.6% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.04 | 12.6% | 0.0 |
 Martin Jones#31 | L | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.10 | +0.1 | 58:54 |