Thu, Jan 4, 2024·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 6, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
37%
9%
49%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 21:32 | 0.12 | 56.2% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:17 | 0.43 | 57.6% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.06 | 44.0% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.15 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.34 | 52.7% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.03 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 17:28 | 0.42 | 84.4% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.25 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.15 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.18 | 86.8% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 15:57 | 0.31 | 70.8% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.29 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:26 | 0.40 | 37.0% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.19 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.24 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.19 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:28 | 0.56 | 33.8% | +16.2 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.95 | +2.9 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.15 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.20 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:57 | 0.07 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.14 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:00 | 0.40 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.04 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.49 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.08 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.25 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.09 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.33 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.28 | 39.4% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 13:28 | 1.19 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:04 | 0.24 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.00 | −1.0 | 59:26 |