Fri, Jan 5, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 89% of the time.
85%
WSH winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Martinook–Jarvis | Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov | Bunting–Kotkaniemi–Drury | Lemieux–Kotkaniemi–Ponomarev | Teravainen–Lemieux–Ponomarev | Aho–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | Skjei–Pesce | Burns–Slavin | Orlov–Chatfield | DeAngelo–Chatfield | Slavin–DeAngelo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn | 0:310.00–0.08 | 7:370.10–0.45 | 1:320.00–0.04 | 1:020.00–0.06 | 3:410.10–0.13 | 4:160.00–0.43 | 2:210.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||
| Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson | 4:430.00–0.18 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 3:290.02–0.08 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:260.00–0.20 | 3:320.02–0.17 | 3:080.00–0.02 | ||||
| Pacioretty–Strome–Lapierre | 3:550.03–0.03 | 1:120.01–0.14 | 0:570.00–0.03 | 1:270.00–0.13 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:500.00–0.07 | 3:010.00–0.02 | 3:010.07–0.16 | |||
| Mantha–McMichael–Protas | 2:260.00–0.09 | 1:170.00–0.05 | 2:580.37–0.22 | 1:190.06–0.00 | 2:430.00–0.05 | 2:590.23–0.14 | 2:530.21–1.05 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||
| Wilson–McMichael–Protas | 0:310.03–0.02 | ||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Bear | 4:290.00–0.06 | 1:280.00–0.26 | 4:230.16–0.21 | 1:170.07–0.00 | 0:550.06–0.00 | 5:130.01–0.29 | 4:350.02–0.27 | 3:110.21–0.08 | |||
| Jensen–Edmundson | 3:580.00–0.28 | 3:160.16–0.41 | 3:050.30–0.06 | 1:200.00–0.12 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 4:120.15–0.14 | 5:000.23–0.44 | 2:480.01–1.10 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:320.12–0.00 | |
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 1:390.00–0.00 | 5:480.10–0.20 | 0:590.00–0.09 | 1:010.11–0.06 | 2:200.10–0.02 | 4:460.00–0.29 | 3:260.06–0.00 | 0:460.11–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.16 | ||
| Edmundson–Bear | 1:220.03–0.02 | 1:050.03–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Carlson–Edmundson | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jensen–Fehérváry | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Carlson–van Riemsdyk | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Bear–Fehérváry | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 23 | 22:10 | 0:58 | 2:03 | 4 | 5 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 23 | 22:07 | 0:58 | 2:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 24 | 20:17 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 5 | 3 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 26 | 20:14 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 5 | 2 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 23 | 20:05 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 2 | 6 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 22 | 20:03 | 0:55 | 2:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 25 | 20:01 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 5 | 2 |
 Joel EdmundsonWSH | 20 | 19:48 | 0:59 | 2:19 | 1 | 1 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 25 | 19:31 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 3 | 4 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 25 | 19:20 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 21 | 19:12 | 0:55 | 2:03 | 3 | 3 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 24 | 19:01 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Ethan BearWSH | 25 | 18:56 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 1 | 3 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 21 | 18:28 | 0:53 | 2:01 | 4 | 2 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 26 | 18:11 | 0:42 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 20 | 18:04 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 0 | 2 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 20 | 17:02 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 2 | 4 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 22 | 16:42 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 22 | 16:37 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynWSH | 20 | 16:27 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 21 | 15:58 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 5 | 1 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 20 | 15:57 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 6 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 21 | 15:46 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 18 | 15:19 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Dmitry OrlovCAR | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael BuntingCAR | 18 | 14:41 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 6 | 1 |
 Max PaciorettyWSH | 18 | 14:31 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 1 | 1 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH | 18 | 14:12 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 1 | 4 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 18 | 13:42 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 19 | 13:20 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Jack DruryCAR | 18 | 13:08 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 17 | 12:46 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 0 | 1 |
 Anthony ManthaWSH | 17 | 12:17 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 0 | 5 |
 Vasily PonomarevCAR | 12 | 10:29 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 1 | 0 |
 Brendan LemieuxCAR | 11 | 9:37 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Tony DeAngeloCAR | 6 | 3:53 | 0:39 | 0:46 | 1 | 0 |