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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 11, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 84% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Batherson, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 2:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 3:53Shot by Clifton, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 4:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  8. P1 7:12Kastelic: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Power · OTT MacEwen, Kastelic, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson

  9. P1 8:58Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg5v4
  10. P1 9:14Goal by Peterka (Cozens, Power)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Samuelsson, Cozens, Peterka, Power · OTT Hamonic, Brannstrom, Kastelic, Tkachuk, Stützle

  11. P1 11:35Dahlin: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Clifton, Greenway, Quinn · OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Joseph, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle

  12. P1 12:22Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  13. P1 12:47Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  14. P1 13:01Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  15. P1 15:06Goal by Tarasenko, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Power · OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, MacEwen, Kastelic, Zub

  16. P1 15:33Shot by Benson, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 16:07Shot by Benson, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 17:28Goal by Thompson (Dahlin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Johnson · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Joseph, Tkachuk, Zub

  19. P1 17:32Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 17:45Shot by Hamonic, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 18:18Shot by Robinson, saved by Korpisalo
  22. P1 19:08Kubalik: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Clifton, Greenway, Samuelsson, Benson · OTT Kubalik, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson, Stützle

  23. P1 19:32Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Quinn)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Quinn · OTT Giroux, Kelly, Sanderson, Zub

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:19Shot by Quinn, saved by Korpisalo
  27. P2 2:41Johnson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Clifton, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Johnson · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Tkachuk, Greig, Zub

  28. P2 3:53Shot by Tuch, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  29. P2 4:52Goal by Krebs (Robinson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Girgensons, Robinson, Samuelsson, Krebs · OTT Giroux, Joseph, Chychrun, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker

  30. P2 5:34Shot by Zub, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 5:37Shot by Chabot, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 7:07Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 7:15Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 8:23Shot by Okposo, saved by Korpisalo
  35. P2 9:08Shot by Batherson, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 9:46Girgensons: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Peterka · OTT Tarasenko, Kubalik, Chabot, Joseph, Tkachuk

  37. P2 10:35Shot by Stützle, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  38. P2 14:10Shot by Quinn, saved by Korpisalo
  39. P2 14:33Shot by Greenway, saved by Korpisalo
  40. P2 15:20Shot by Tuch, saved by Korpisalo
  41. P2 15:39Dahlin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin · OTT Giroux, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Greig, Sanderson

  42. P2 17:46Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 18:03Shot by Dahlin, saved by Korpisalo
  44. P2 19:28Shot by Kelly, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:28Shot by Benson, saved by Korpisalo
  48. P3 0:43Goal by Giroux (Greig)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Chychrun, Tkachuk, Greig

  49. P3 1:12Shot by Thompson, saved by Korpisalo
  50. P3 1:13Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Korpisalo
  51. P3 1:32Joseph: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Robinson, Krebs, Johnson · OTT Tarasenko, Kubalik, Joseph, Brannstrom, Sanderson

  52. P3 3:07Shot by Greig, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  53. P3 3:58Shot by Giroux, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 6:42Shot by Greig, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P3 7:32Shot by Chabot, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 8:18Shot by Kelly, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 8:28Shot by Krebs, saved by Korpisalo
  58. P3 8:29Shot by Robinson, saved by Korpisalo
  59. P3 8:30Shot by Robinson, saved by Korpisalo
  60. P3 8:37Shot by Thompson, saved by Korpisalo
  61. P3 8:46Shot by Kastelic, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 9:29Shot by Robinson, saved by Korpisalo
  63. P3 9:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Korpisalo
  64. P3 10:55Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Luukkonen
  65. P3 11:15Goal by Giroux, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Greig, Sanderson

  66. P3 11:28Shot by Robinson, saved by Korpisalo
  67. P3 11:32Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Korpisalo
  68. P3 13:25Shot by Tuch, saved by Korpisalo
  69. P3 14:15Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen
  70. P3 14:36Shot by Quinn, saved by Korpisalo
  71. P3 19:16Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  72. P3 19:57Goal by Cozens, unassisted5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · OTT Giroux, Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final