Thu, Jan 11, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 84% of the time.
77%
10%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:03 | 0.09 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.01 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:18 | 0.20 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 22:16 | 0.30 | 37.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.18 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:59 | 0.15 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.26 | 50.9% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.03 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.02 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.02 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 4.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.04 | 7.4% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.02 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:54 | 0.04 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:15 | 0.02 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:12 | 0.01 | 17.3% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.75 | −0.3 | 15:56 | |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 1.56 | −1.4 | 42:11 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:18 | 0.01 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:40 | 0.00 | 56.4% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.32 | 80.4% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:38 | 0.28 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:17 | 0.17 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.12 | 19.4% | +11.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.70 | 27.7% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.01 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.18 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.13 | 32.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.00 | 85.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:40 | 0.24 | 89.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12:27 | 0.23 | 91.0% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.03 | 93.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.18 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 10:16 | 0.49 | 75.1% | +6.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.20 | 85.9% | +6.8 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 1.39 | −1.6 | 60:00 |