Thu, Jan 11, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 84% of the time.
77%
10%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–Tkachuk–Greig | Batherson–Kelly–Stützle | Joseph–Batherson–Stützle | Tarasenko–Kubalik–Joseph | Tarasenko–Kubalik–Kelly | Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | MacEwen–Kastelic–Kelly | Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Kubalik–Batherson–Stützle | Chabot–Zub | Hamonic–Chychrun | Brannstrom–Sanderson | Brannstrom–Bernard-Docker | Bernard-Docker–Sanderson | Chabot–Chychrun | Chychrun–Sanderson | Chabot–Bernard-Docker | Chabot–Sanderson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 4:230.03–0.41 | 1:470.04–0.08 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 2:210.04–0.01 | 3:070.04–0.15 | 1:440.00–0.23 | 1:100.00–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 1:270.09–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.01 | 3:080.01–0.01 | 1:330.04–0.02 | 1:470.05–0.01 | 3:180.34–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Okposo–Greenway–Benson | 0:360.30–0.00 | 1:260.08–0.00 | 0:570.02–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:570.02–0.04 | 2:450.39–0.00 | 1:060.14–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Girgensons–Robinson–Krebs | 1:140.15–0.10 | 0:440.04–0.00 | 1:110.44–0.00 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 3:010.00–0.12 | 1:350.10–0.00 | 0:300.44–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:300.15–0.00 | |||||||||
| Girgensons–Greenway–Robinson | 0:460.03–0.17 | 0:430.03–0.17 | ||||||||||||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–Mittelstadt | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 7:290.41–0.33 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:460.03–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.17 | 4:350.05–0.04 | 3:340.34–0.04 | 2:220.19–0.21 | 0:570.00–0.05 | 1:220.00–0.19 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Clifton–Johnson | 1:080.00–0.02 | 2:040.00–0.13 | 1:400.04–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 3:330.04–0.14 | 2:100.04–0.03 | 2:050.00–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Johnson–Power | 1:010.05–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.01 | 2:000.06–0.09 | 1:410.53–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 1:070.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Johnson–Power | 0:310.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Johnson–Samuelsson | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Power | ||||||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Johnson | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Johnson | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:550.00–0.07 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 33 | 25:18 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 28 | 25:03 | 0:54 | 2:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 34 | 24:40 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 5 | 3 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 25 | 23:35 | 0:57 | 2:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 29 | 22:18 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 29 | 22:16 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 4 | 4 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 26 | 21:01 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 23 | 20:41 | 0:54 | 1:57 | 3 | 0 |
 Jakob ChychrunOTT | 23 | 19:59 | 0:52 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 19:52 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 3 | 5 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 24 | 19:38 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 19:17 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 6 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 25 | 19:16 | 0:46 | 2:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 26 | 18:05 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 3 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 27 | 18:02 | 0:40 | 1:42 | 3 | 6 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 25 | 17:18 | 0:42 | 1:55 | 2 | 1 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 24 | 16:55 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 1 | 5 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 24 | 16:29 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 21 | 15:56 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 7 | 3 |
 Mathieu JosephOTT | 27 | 15:13 | 0:34 | 0:55 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 24 | 15:10 | 0:38 | 1:58 | 3 | 1 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 19 | 14:56 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Dominik KubalikOTT | 23 | 14:22 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoOTT | 25 | 14:15 | 0:34 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 14:06 | 0:38 | 2:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 22 | 14:06 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 3 | 6 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 16 | 13:40 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 17 | 12:27 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 6 | 4 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 17 | 12:00 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 16 | 11:37 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 17 | 11:19 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Eric RobinsonBUF | 16 | 10:16 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 15 | 10:02 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 11 | 7:54 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Zack MacEwenOTT | 8 | 6:15 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 11 | 6:12 | 0:34 | 1:02 | 3 | 3 |