Thu, Jan 18, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 2:02Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 2:06Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 2:19Shot by Point, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 3:10Shot by Crozier, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 3:49Shot by Rossi, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 5:17Goal by Eriksson Ek (Faber, Middleton)+15 pts WP
On ice: TBL de Haan, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · MIN Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy, Faber
- P1 6:04Shot by Hedman, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 6:12Goal by Hedman (Point, Kucherov)+15 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh · MIN Bogosian, Johansson, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Boldy
- P1 8:20Shot by de Haan, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 9:03Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:05Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:06Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 10:49Shot by Bogosian, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 11:41Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 13:05Shot by Hartman, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 13:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 13:41Shot by de Haan, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 16:25Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 18:16Faber: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL de Haan, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber
- P1 18:16Paul: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL de Haan, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber
- P1 18:16Faber: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL de Haan, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber
- P1 18:40Shot by Hedman, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P1 18:45Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P1 19:39Shot by Dewar, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 0:00Period end5v4
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:16Goal by Cirelli (Point, Hedman)5v4+20 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · MIN Bogosian, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Duhaime
- P2 1:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 1:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 2:38Shot by Mermis, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 3:20Goal by Merela (Sheary, Perbix)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL de Haan, Motte, Sheary, Perbix, Merela · MIN Foligno, Hartman, Mermis, Gaudreau, Hunt
- P2 4:09Shot by Hagel, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 5:13Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 5:37Shot by Johansson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 5:58Shot by Middleton, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 9:05Shot by Bogosian, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 10:09Shot by Duhaime, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 10:52Goal by Rossi (Middleton, Kaprizov)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL de Haan, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber
- P2 11:47Shot by Dewar, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 12:20Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 12:39Shot by Point, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 12:41Goal by Point (Kucherov)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh · MIN Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber
- P2 13:10Shot by Motte, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 13:13Shot by de Haan, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 13:26Shot by Hagel, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 13:37Shot by de Haan, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 15:53Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 17:08Shot by Crozier, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 19:08Shot by de Haan, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 19:45Goal by Middleton (Rossi, Zuccarello)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL de Haan, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber
- P2 0:00Johansson: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Hedman, Motte, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont · MIN Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber
- P2 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:04Shot by Faber, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 0:20Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P3 0:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P3 1:09Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point · MIN Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar, Faber
- P3 2:28Shot by Hartman, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 2:38Shot by Motte, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 2:40Shot by Paul, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 2:53Motte: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Hedman, Motte, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh · MIN Foligno, Hartman, Mermis, Gaudreau, Hunt
- P3 3:10Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 3:46Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 5:45Kaprizov: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Crozier · MIN Bogosian, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy
- P3 6:14Shot by Point, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P3 6:16Shot by Paul, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P3 6:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P3 6:55Shot by Cirelli, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P3 6:59Goal by Eyssimont (Cirelli, Raddysh)5v4+4 pts WP
On ice: TBL Sheary, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Eyssimont · MIN Bogosian, Foligno, Brodin, Eriksson Ek
- P3 7:22Shot by Crozier, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 8:03Shot by Faber, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 11:22Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:15Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:22Shot by Rossi, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:42Shot by Mermis, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:44de Haan: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Perbix, Merela · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Brodin, Mermis, Rossi
- P3 12:44Zuccarello: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Perbix, Merela · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Brodin, Mermis, Rossi
- P3 12:44de Haan: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Perbix, Merela · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Brodin, Mermis, Rossi
- P3 15:55Shot by Point, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 17:42Shot by Duhaime, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 17:52Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, Hedman)0 pts WP
On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · MIN Maroon, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar, Faber
- P3 18:03Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 19:51Shot by Mermis, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final