Thu, Jan 18, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
64%
8%
22%
TBL winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:38 | 0.04 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.03 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 21:51 | 0.44 | 53.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.01 | 38.9% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.18 | 46.6% | +41.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.45 | 84.3% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.12 | 84.9% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.05 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0.61 | 33.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.10 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:06 | 0.16 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.03 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.04 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.33 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.03 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.06 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.01 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 31 | 7 | .816 | 4.07 | −2.9 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 24:05 | 0.25 | 65.6% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 20:25 | 0.81 | 68.7% | +41.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.07 | 65.4% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 20:09 | 0.96 | 69.5% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 27.2% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.22 | 70.9% | +12.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −2 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.33 | 35.1% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.01 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:23 | 0.09 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.34 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 16:23 | 0.10 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.07 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:09 | 0.35 | 46.0% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.11 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.12 | 65.0% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.00 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:49 | 0.00 | 4.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:26 | 0.24 | 31.6% | +13.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.69 | −0.3 | 60:00 |