Thu, Jan 18, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
21%
66%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:35 | 0.20 | 52.0% | +16.5 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:03 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.11 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:43 | 1.60 | 56.6% | +17.5 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 5 | 20:37 | 0.58 | 76.7% | +66.3 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.02 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.18 | 47.5% | +37.3 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:19 | 0.56 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.14 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.26 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.09 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.02 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.06 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:25 | 0.18 | 45.5% | +19.8 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.02 | 72.0% | +16.5 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:31 | 0.30 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.10 | 60.0% | +12.5 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:11 | 0.03 | 30.5% | +12.5 |
 Martin Jones#31 | W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.99 | 0.0 | 59:38 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:35 | 0.07 | 47.6% | +17.5 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:23 | 0.14 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:59 | 0.15 | 65.3% | +16.4 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 | 0.05 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.08 | 39.5% | +30.0 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:37 | 0.61 | 38.0% | +12.5 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.12 | 57.7% | +16.4 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.07 | 35.6% | +17.5 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:04 | 0.83 | 65.2% | +16.4 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.41 | 66.1% | +12.5 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.29 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Adam RuzickaC · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.06 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Jordan OesterleD · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:37 | 0.01 | 23.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick DeSimoneD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.04 | 12.1% | 0.0 |
 A.J. GreerLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:12 | 0.00 | 24.2% | 0.0 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:35 | 0.00 | 75.9% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:46 | 0.04 | 87.1% | 0.0 |
 Dan Vladar#80 | L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.36 | −0.6 | 58:27 |