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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 18, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:08Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Jones
  3. P1 0:09Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Jones
  4. P1 0:30Shot by Marner, saved by Vladar
  5. P1 0:56Nylander: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Weegar, Lindholm, Andersson, Sharangovich · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Benoit, Knies

  6. P1 2:19Shot by Gregor, saved by Vladar5v4
  7. P1 3:50Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vladar
  8. P1 5:01Shot by Pospisil, saved by Jones
  9. P1 6:18Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Jones
  10. P1 7:28Shot by Lindholm, saved by Jones
  11. P1 7:34Shot by Kampf, saved by Vladar
  12. P1 9:23Shot by Lindholm, saved by Jones
  13. P1 9:36Shot by Weegar, saved by Jones
  14. P1 10:24Shot by Andersson, saved by Jones
  15. P1 10:52Goal by Sharangovich (Andersson, Huberdeau)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Weegar, Lindholm, Andersson, Sharangovich · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Knies

  16. P1 12:46Shot by Lindholm, saved by Jones
  17. P1 14:38Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vladar
  18. P1 15:11Rielly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Weegar, Mangiapane, Andersson, Pospisil · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi

  19. P1 15:23Goal by Kadri (Lindholm, Huberdeau)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Lindholm, Sharangovich · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Marner, Kampf

  20. P1 16:31Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vladar
  21. P1 18:24Goal by Matthews (Gregor, McMann)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Lindholm, Oesterle, DeSimone, Sharangovich · TOR Giordano, Matthews, Gregor, Liljegren, McMann

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:40Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Jones
  25. P2 1:38Shot by Kadri, saved by Jones
  26. P2 3:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Vladar5v6
  27. P2 4:08Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Holmberg)5v6+20 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Holmberg

  28. P2 4:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Vladar
  29. P2 5:52Greer: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Hanifin, Greer, Dube, Ruzicka · TOR Giordano, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit, Knies

  30. P2 5:52Benoit: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Hanifin, Greer, Dube, Ruzicka · TOR Giordano, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit, Knies

  31. P2 7:06Shot by Nylander, saved by Vladar4v4
  32. P2 7:20Hanifin: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Sharangovich · TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander

  33. P2 7:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Vladar3v4
  34. P2 7:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Vladar3v4
  35. P2 7:44Goal by Marner (Nylander, Matthews)3v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Andersson · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  36. P2 7:55Shot by Domi, saved by Vladar
  37. P2 8:30Shot by Domi, saved by Vladar
  38. P2 8:32Shot by Giordano, saved by Vladar
  39. P2 10:02Shot by Hanifin, saved by Jones
  40. P2 10:17Shot by Hanifin, saved by Jones
  41. P2 10:24Shot by Hanifin, saved by Jones
  42. P2 10:32Shot by Kadri, saved by Jones
  43. P2 12:45Shot by Oesterle, saved by Jones
  44. P2 13:36Shot by Knies, saved by Vladar
  45. P2 13:39Goal by Matthews (Knies, Brodie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Oesterle, Greer, Ruzicka, DeSimone, Sharangovich · TOR Giordano, Matthews, Liljegren, Kampf, Knies

  46. P2 13:46Shot by Marner, saved by Vladar
  47. P2 14:26Shot by Tavares, saved by Vladar
  48. P2 15:45Shot by Giordano, saved by Vladar
  49. P2 16:27Shot by Kampf, saved by Vladar
  50. P2 17:20Shot by Weegar, saved by Jones
  51. P2 17:50Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Jones
  52. P2 17:53Goal by Mangiapane (Backlund, Hanifin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:29Shot by Rielly, saved by Vladar
  56. P3 0:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Vladar
  57. P3 2:24Shot by Backlund, saved by Jones
  58. P3 3:49Shot by Marner, saved by Vladar
  59. P3 4:46Shot by Weegar, saved by Jones
  60. P3 5:33Shot by Domi, saved by Vladar
  61. P3 7:11Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vladar
  62. P3 9:25Shot by Lindholm, saved by Jones
  63. P3 11:17Liljegren: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Oesterle, Hanifin, Ruzicka, Zary · TOR McCabe, Domi, Gregor, Liljegren, Knies

  64. P3 11:56Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Jones5v4
  65. P3 13:36Shot by Lindholm, saved by Jones
  66. P3 15:56Shot by Brodie, saved by Vladar
  67. P3 16:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Vladar
  68. P3 16:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Vladar
  69. P3 16:53Shot by Marner, saved by Vladar
  70. P3 18:56Lindholm: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Lindholm, Andersson, Sharangovich · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Kampf

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final