Thu, Jan 18, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Arizona Coyotes 1, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 14 | 010 | 07 | 121 |
| VAN | 114 | 16 | 06 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:49VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 18:40ARITravis DermottAssists: Alexander Kerfoot, Jason Zucker · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 19:02VANDakota JoshuaGWGAssists: Nils Hoglander, Teddy Blueger · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 5:26ARILiam O'Brien: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:19ARILiam O'Brien: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 12:19VANNikita Zadorov: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:13ARISean Durzi: Interference2 min
- P2 0:18VANTyler Myers: Interference2 min
- P2 3:43VANTyler Myers: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:25ARITravis Dermott: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:32ARIMichael Carcone: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:32VANCarson Soucy: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:32ARIMichael Carcone: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:32ARIMichael Kesselring: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blueger won the faceoff against Kerfoot
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKeller – Guenther – Cooley6:28
xG 0.61–0.12 (83%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Keller – Maccelli4:13
xG 0.10–0.08 (54%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Keller – McBain – Maccelli3:45
xG 0.03–0.08 (26%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- O'Brien – Carcone – McBain4:10
xG 0.02–0.08 (24%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStecher – Durzi3:13
xG 0.26–0.06 (81%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Durzi – Moser7:56
xG 0.25–0.14 (64%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Stecher – Kesselring3:45
xG 0.09–0.02 (81%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLafferty – Hoglander – Aman6:28
xG 0.45–0.19 (70%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Suter – Mikheyev2:01
xG 0.02–0.00 (99%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Blueger – Joshua – Garland9:48
xG 0.09–0.10 (47%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Suter – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko3:57
xG 0.02–0.16 (12%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Myers3:17
xG 0.39–0.05 (88%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Hronek – Hughes13:22
xG 0.37–0.21 (63%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Hronek3:18
xG 0.08–0.01 (86%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).