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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 20, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Vancouver Canucks 6

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Vancouver Canucks

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

VAN winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Soucy, saved by Jones
  3. P1 2:19Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Jones
  4. P1 2:29Shot by Hronek, saved by Jones
  5. P1 3:06Goal by Hoglander (Lafferty, Hughes)+17 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Lafferty, Hronek, Hughes, Hoglander, Aman · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Domi, Liljegren, Knies

  6. P1 3:36Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Jones
  7. P1 6:00Goal by Hoglander (Aman, Garland)+12 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Cole, Zadorov, Garland, Hoglander, Aman · TOR McCabe, Domi, Marner, Holmberg, Benoit

  8. P1 6:31Zadorov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cole, Zadorov, Lafferty, Hoglander, Aman · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Domi, Nylander, Knies

  9. P1 8:42Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Demko
  10. P1 8:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko
  11. P1 12:53Shot by Blueger, saved by Jones
  12. P1 12:58Goal by Garland (Blueger, Joshua)+8 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Cole, Blueger, Zadorov, Joshua, Garland · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Kampf, McMann

  13. P1 13:28Shot by McMann, saved by Demko
  14. P1 13:39Shot by Marner, saved by Demko
  15. P1 14:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko
  16. P1 14:34Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko
  17. P1 14:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko
  18. P1 15:13Shot by Liljegren, saved by Demko
  19. P1 17:49Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Demko
  20. P1 18:35Shot by Cole, saved by Jones
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:45Shot by Benoit, saved by Demko
  24. P2 2:09Shot by Kampf, saved by Demko
  25. P2 2:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko
  26. P2 3:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Demko
  27. P2 3:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Demko
  28. P2 3:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Demko
  29. P2 4:53Goal by Nylander (Rielly, Brodie)+7 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Soucy, Garland, Suter, Mikheyev · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander

  30. P2 5:04Shot by Knies, saved by Demko
  31. P2 6:12Shot by Pettersson, saved by Jones
  32. P2 6:17Shot by Pettersson, saved by Jones
  33. P2 6:24Shot by McMann, saved by Demko
  34. P2 7:26Goal by McCabe (Marner, Matthews)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Blueger, Soucy, Joshua, Garland · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  35. P2 7:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko
  36. P2 8:19Goal by Nylander (Rielly)+21 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Soucy, Boeser, Pettersson · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  37. P2 9:52Shot by Kampf, saved by Demko
  38. P2 10:21Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Jones
  39. P2 11:09Shot by Giordano, saved by Demko
  40. P2 11:46Shot by Tavares, saved by Demko
  41. P2 11:49Hughes: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Joshua, Boeser, Hronek, Hughes · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  42. P2 11:49Hronek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Joshua, Boeser, Hronek, Hughes · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  43. P2 11:49Rielly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Joshua, Boeser, Hronek, Hughes · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  44. P2 13:03Shot by Marner, saved by Demko4v5
  45. P2 15:30Shot by Pettersson, saved by Jones
  46. P2 17:13Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Demko
  47. P2 17:18Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko
  48. P2 18:52Shot by Garland, saved by Jones
  49. P2 19:00Goal by Garland (Blueger)+24 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Cole, Blueger, Joshua, Garland, Hughes · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Kampf, Knies

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:43Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones
  53. P3 2:51Brodie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Kampf, McMann

  54. P3 3:13Goal by Marner, unassisted5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Suter, Hughes · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Kampf

  55. P3 4:31Shot by Hughes, saved by Jones5v4
  56. P3 5:10Shot by Tavares, saved by Demko
  57. P3 6:06Shot by Boeser, saved by Jones
  58. P3 6:19Domi: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Hronek, Pettersson, Hughes · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Domi, Liljegren, Knies

  59. P3 7:11Goal by Miller (Hughes, Pettersson)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Suter, Hughes · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Jarnkrok, Nylander

  60. P3 7:47Shot by Holmberg, saved by Demko
  61. P3 8:07Shot by Tavares, saved by Demko
  62. P3 9:50Giordano: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Boeser, Garland, Hronek, Pettersson · TOR McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  63. P3 10:42Goal by Pettersson (Miller, Hughes)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Suter, Hughes · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Benoit

  64. P3 11:20Hronek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Zadorov, Joshua, Garland, Hronek · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Holmberg

  65. P3 11:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Demko4v5
  66. P3 12:18Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones4v5
  67. P3 13:14Shot by Tavares, saved by Demko4v5
  68. P3 14:03Jarnkrok: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cole, Blueger, Zadorov, Joshua, Suter · TOR Giordano, Bertuzzi, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  69. P3 14:03Jarnkrok: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cole, Blueger, Zadorov, Joshua, Suter · TOR Giordano, Bertuzzi, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  70. P3 14:03Suter: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cole, Blueger, Zadorov, Joshua, Suter · TOR Giordano, Bertuzzi, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  71. P3 14:03Suter: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cole, Blueger, Zadorov, Joshua, Suter · TOR Giordano, Bertuzzi, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  72. P3 14:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Demko
  73. P3 15:00Shot by Nylander, saved by Demko
  74. P3 16:24Shot by Gregor, saved by Demko
  75. P3 16:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko5v6
  76. P3 17:20Shot by Marner, saved by Demko5v6
  77. P3 17:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko5v6
  78. P3 18:18Shot by Rielly, saved by Demko5v6
  79. P3 18:31Hughes: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Joshua, Garland, Hronek, Hughes · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  80. P3 18:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Demko4v6
  81. P3 18:46Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Demko4v6
  82. P3 18:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Demko4v6
  83. P3 19:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Demko4v6
  84. P3 19:24Shot by Marner, saved by Demko4v6
  85. P3 19:33Myers: Interference (2 min)4v6

    On ice: VAN Cole, Myers, Miller, Pettersson · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  86. P3 19:33Myers: Roughing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: VAN Cole, Myers, Miller, Pettersson · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  87. P3 19:33Rielly: Roughing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: VAN Cole, Myers, Miller, Pettersson · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  88. P3 19:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Demkoother
  89. P3 0:00Period endother
  90. P3 0:00Finalother