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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 20, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Vancouver Canucks 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

VAN winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VAN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderMarner–Matthews–HolmbergJarnkrok–Domi–KniesGregor–Kampf–McMannJarnkrok–Marner–MatthewsJarnkrok–Bertuzzi–DomiJarnkrok–Kampf–KniesTavares–Jarnkrok–KniesBertuzzi–Nylander–MatthewsBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–LiljegrenGiordano–LiljegrenGiordano–BenoitMcCabe–BenoitBrodie–BenoitGiordano–Brodie
Miller–Boeser–Pettersson1:580.09–0.112:530.03–0.200:390.10–0.000:390.06–0.002:410.00–0.034:530.17–0.023:140.10–0.290:540.00–0.01
Blueger–Joshua–Garland2:350.09–0.002:130.00–0.010:360.01–0.002:200.56–0.102:120.00–0.101:180.01–0.000:490.00–0.010:500.01–0.00
Suter–Mikheyev–Kuzmenko0:560.00–0.003:570.04–0.080:520.00–0.000:440.30–0.002:540.30–0.040:530.02–0.031:140.04–0.000:330.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Lafferty–Hoglander–Aman0:580.00–0.061:130.19–0.011:160.00–0.060:300.04–0.001:510.00–0.041:110.23–0.001:220.00–0.130:430.00–0.05
Miller–Boeser–Hoglander0:320.00–0.00
Hronek–Hughes0:530.09–0.082:560.03–0.203:030.35–0.021:000.06–0.002:280.00–0.030:350.01–0.005:440.18–0.192:280.10–0.201:200.24–0.000:480.00–0.000:530.00–0.01
Myers–Soucy3:020.04–0.042:440.00–0.190:400.00–0.031:170.00–0.000:440.00–0.003:490.03–0.032:130.02–0.231:020.00–0.021:240.00–0.011:280.01–0.05
Cole–Zadorov1:170.08–0.002:030.00–0.041:470.00–0.071:020.01–0.002:100.22–0.081:120.00–0.031:500.01–0.001:010.00–0.011:430.03–0.050:380.00–0.00
Zadorov–Hronek1:200.00–0.040:410.00–0.000:300.04–0.000:410.07–0.041:120.00–0.000:500.04–0.001:040.00–0.12
Cole–Myers1:480.00–0.120:540.00–0.031:100.00–0.09
Myers–Hughes0:320.00–0.000:580.23–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBoeser FMiller FPettersson FJoshua FGarland FBlueger FMikheyev FKuzmenko FSuter FHoglander FAman FLafferty FHronek DHughes DSoucy DMyers DZadorov DCole DDemko GMarner FJarnkrok FMatthews FBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FDomi FKnies FGregor FKampf FMcMann FHolmberg FRielly DBrodie DMcCabe DBenoit DLiljegren DGiordano DJones G
VANTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mitch MarnerTOR2423:360:593:2443
Morgan RiellyTOR3023:220:472:0671
Auston MatthewsTOR2123:131:063:2730
William NylanderTOR2322:350:593:1940
Tyler MyersVAN2922:130:462:10011
Filip HronekVAN2922:110:461:3214
Quinn HughesVAN2421:200:532:1413
Calle JarnkrokTOR2220:590:571:5430
Elias PetterssonVAN2320:120:531:4417
John TavaresTOR1920:071:043:1870
Brock BoeserVAN2219:410:541:3024
TJ BrodieTOR2619:280:451:4632
Ian ColeVAN2519:210:461:2906
J.T. MillerVAN2519:010:461:3317
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2519:010:461:4281
Jake McCabeTOR2718:570:421:1633
Nikita ZadorovVAN2318:380:491:2712
Teddy BluegerVAN2417:260:441:3406
Mark GiordanoTOR2216:460:461:3722
Dakota JoshuaVAN2316:370:431:4906
Matthew KniesTOR1514:541:002:0410
Pius SuterVAN1914:510:471:2632
Max DomiTOR1714:190:511:4020
Carson SoucyVAN1713:400:482:1006
Tyler BertuzziTOR1913:380:431:1060
Simon BenoitTOR2413:190:331:0200
Conor GarlandVAN2313:060:341:0303
Ilya MikheyevVAN1612:130:461:0801
Pontus HolmbergTOR1511:440:471:3330
Nils AmanVAN1711:000:391:0411
Nils HoglanderVAN1510:500:431:1611
Andrei KuzmenkoVAN1310:420:491:2901
David KampfTOR1510:190:411:1711
Sam LaffertyVAN149:400:411:1001
Noah GregorTOR117:080:391:0220
Bobby McMannTOR116:180:340:5720