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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 24, 2024·TD Garden, Boston

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Boston Bruins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 52% of the time.

BOS winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Noesen–Necas–DruryFast–Lemieux–KotkaniemiStaal–Bunting–JarvisTeravainen–Martinook–AhoStaal–Martinook–JarvisTeravainen–Bunting–AhoBunting–Necas–DruryLemieux–Necas–DruryFast–Lemieux–AhoBurns–SlavinSkjei–PesceOrlov–ChatfieldSlavin–Pesce
Frederic–Geekie–Lauko1:140.00–0.110:540.00–0.003:120.18–0.252:340.00–0.291:540.18–0.031:160.00–0.03
Heinen–Steen–Boqvist2:290.07–0.120:390.00–0.010:450.00–0.121:470.00–0.121:080.07–0.00
Marchand–Coyle–Pastrnak0:450.00–0.002:010.40–0.111:520.04–0.110:440.12–0.00
Marchand–Coyle–Frederic0:440.00–0.012:010.33–0.181:490.32–0.181:120.34–0.000:300.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Zacha–DeBrusk3:070.10–0.561:230.10–0.400:540.00–0.020:470.00–0.14
Pastrnak–Zacha–DeBrusk1:220.09–0.000:580.00–0.000:500.03–0.121:510.09–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Heinen–Geekie1:110.00–0.000:360.00–0.161:380.00–0.000:400.00–0.16
Heinen–Steen–Geekie0:500.06–0.000:370.00–0.010:540.06–0.001:050.00–0.01
Marchand–Coyle–DeBrusk1:090.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Pastrnak–Heinen–Zacha0:440.00–0.150:380.00–0.120:510.00–0.05
Heinen–Frederic–Boqvist0:390.15–0.001:060.15–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Steen–Boqvist0:350.00–0.000:560.02–0.00
Grzelcyk–McAvoy3:580.31–0.221:290.00–0.181:300.00–0.011:080.00–0.001:050.36–0.110:380.15–0.002:490.31–0.253:120.02–0.013:280.15–0.18
Lindholm–Carlo2:350.09–0.680:590.00–0.120:480.03–0.120:450.00–0.000:490.04–0.000:420.00–0.012:470.07–0.651:210.00–0.123:400.09–0.16
Shattenkirk–Forbort0:510.00–0.023:050.12–0.110:340.00–0.002:350.18–0.250:360.00–0.162:340.00–0.294:030.22–0.211:480.07–0.05
Lindholm–McAvoy1:420.06–0.000:420.00–0.001:090.33–0.001:260.00–0.002:070.40–0.000:560.00–0.00
Forbort–Carlo1:060.32–0.000:460.00–0.031:170.32–0.031:420.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Lindholm0:440.00–0.070:360.00–0.000:380.00–0.001:010.00–0.071:180.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Grzelcyk0:430.00–0.120:320.00–0.000:380.00–0.001:010.00–0.150:490.00–0.120:520.00–0.02
Grzelcyk–Carlo0:400.00–0.110:590.04–0.000:570.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFrederic FGeekie FLauko Fvan Riemsdyk FDeBrusk FZacha FPastrnak FMarchand FCoyle FHeinen FSteen FBoqvist FShattenkirk DForbort DMcAvoy DGrzelcyk DLindholm DCarlo DUllmark GStaal FJarvis FMartinook FNoesen FDrury FNecas FAho FBunting FTeravainen FLemieux FFast FKotkaniemi FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce DOrlov DChatfield DMartin G
BOSCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS2924:250:512:2528
Brent BurnsCAR2723:040:511:3963
Jaccob SlavinCAR2622:560:531:3823
Hampus LindholmBOS2822:200:481:3325
Brady SkjeiCAR2821:070:451:2154
Brett PesceCAR2720:250:451:1835
Brad MarchandBOS2420:220:511:4825
Morgan GeekieBOS2519:330:471:1452
David PastrnakBOS2119:170:552:0243
Seth JarvisCAR2319:160:501:3956
Martin NecasCAR2218:580:521:2061
Matt GrzelcykBOS2518:360:452:1724
Pavel ZachaBOS2417:460:441:4256
Charlie CoyleBOS2617:290:401:3917
Jack DruryCAR2217:170:471:1871
Brandon CarloBOS2517:090:411:3908
Sebastian AhoCAR2517:020:411:3961
Jordan StaalCAR2216:160:441:1546
Danton HeinenBOS2216:080:441:2704
Derek ForbortBOS2016:020:482:0213
Jake DeBruskBOS2215:580:441:1933
Kevin ShattenkirkBOS2115:510:452:1021
Trent FredericBOS2215:000:411:1744
Dmitry OrlovCAR1915:000:471:2900
Michael BuntingCAR1714:140:501:3970
James van RiemsdykBOS1914:120:451:4723
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2214:110:391:3961
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1814:090:471:2700
Stefan NoesenCAR2314:050:371:1671
Jordan MartinookCAR1812:310:421:0022
Jesper FastCAR1311:210:522:0300
Brendan LemieuxCAR1110:360:582:0500
Oskar SteenBOS139:570:461:2002
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR139:320:441:4020
Jesper BoqvistBOS159:300:381:0712
Jakub LaukoBOS107:340:451:2021