Mon, Feb 5, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
27%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah DobsonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.08 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
 Mathew BarzalC · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:01 | 0.52 | 64.0% | +16.1 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.09 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.06 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Bo HorvatC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.42 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Scott MayfieldD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:24 | 0.04 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander RomanovD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Brock NelsonC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.08 | 57.9% | +46.3 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.30 | 58.2% | +16.1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:19 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 |
 Kyle PalmieriC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.23 | 47.3% | +46.3 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.31 | 64.6% | +46.3 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:27 | 0.15 | 62.8% | +16.1 |
 Cal ClutterbuckRW · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +18.7 |
 Oliver WahlstromRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.12 | 18.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 13.9% | 0.0 |
 Kyle MacLeanC · #32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:11 | 0.21 | 29.9% | +18.7 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.61 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:59 | 0.14 | 49.9% | +35.4 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 24:55 | 0.85 | 58.9% | +35.4 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:43 | 0.64 | 58.5% | +17.7 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:02 | 0.20 | 38.6% | +17.7 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.04 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21:16 | 0.51 | 61.0% | +53.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.01 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.42 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.04 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.03 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.04 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.05 | 77.2% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:52 | 0.16 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 | 0.07 | 27.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 8:38 | 0.21 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:28 | 0.07 | 28.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.14 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.62 | −0.4 | 58:19 |