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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 5, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Islanders 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Brodie, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 5:20Shot by Pelech, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 5:29Shot by Pulock, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 5:33Shot by Pelech, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 6:11Shot by Knies, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 6:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 6:45Shot by Mayfield, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 7:03Shot by Palmieri, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 7:39Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 7:41Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 8:41Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 8:59Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 10:31Goal by Barzal (Reilly, Lee)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Gregor, Benoit, Robertson · NYI Lee, Reilly, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal

  15. P1 11:35Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 11:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 15:16Shot by Dobson, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 15:24Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 16:17Reaves: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Engvall, Dobson

  20. P1 17:31Shot by Pulock, saved by Samsonov4v5
  21. P1 17:37Shot by Engvall, saved by Samsonov4v5
  22. P1 17:43Shot by Reilly, saved by Samsonov4v5
  23. P1 18:02Shot by Reilly, saved by Samsonov4v5
  24. P1 18:12Shot by Reilly, saved by Samsonov4v5
  25. P1 18:55Bertuzzi: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren · NYI Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Holmstrom

  26. P1 18:58Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin4v5
  27. P1 19:13Shot by Barzal, saved by Samsonov4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:43Horvat: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gregor, Holmberg, Benoit · NYI Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  31. P2 0:43Benoit: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gregor, Holmberg, Benoit · NYI Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  32. P2 0:43Horvat: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gregor, Holmberg, Benoit · NYI Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  33. P2 0:50Goal by Marner (Tavares, Matthews)4v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Holmstrom

  34. P2 1:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin5v4
  35. P2 2:50Goal by MacLean (Clutterbuck)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Liljegren, Robertson · NYI Clutterbuck, Nelson, Pulock, Romanov, MacLean

  36. P2 3:14Shot by Reilly, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 5:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 7:22Shot by Mayfield, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 7:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 9:53Shot by Horvat, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 11:15Shot by Engvall, saved by Samsonov
  42. P2 11:31Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 12:07Shot by Liljegren, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 12:15Shot by Horvat, saved by Samsonov
  45. P2 12:16Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  46. P2 13:01Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 16:31Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 17:22Shot by Horvat, saved by Samsonov
  49. P2 17:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 18:00Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 18:53Shot by Dobson, saved by Samsonov
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:36Shot by Mayfield, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 2:01Shot by Liljegren, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 6:51Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  57. P3 8:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 8:59Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 9:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 11:16Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 13:56Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 14:20Wahlstrom: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Wahlstrom, Dobson, Holmstrom

  63. P3 15:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin5v4
  64. P3 15:12Goal by Tavares (Rielly, Nylander)5v4+35 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · NYI Clutterbuck, Nelson, Pulock, Romanov

  65. P3 15:22Shot by McCabe, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 15:50Shot by Barzal, saved by Samsonov
  67. P3 16:34Shot by Pelech, saved by Samsonov
  68. P3 17:13Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 17:56Shot by Nelson, saved by Samsonov
  70. P3 17:58Goal by Engvall (Nelson, Palmieri)+46 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Engvall, Romanov

  71. P3 18:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin6v5
  72. P3 18:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin6v5
  73. P3 19:20Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin6v5
  74. P3 19:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin6v5
  75. P3 19:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin6v5
  76. P3 19:53Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sorokin6v5
  77. P3 0:00Clutterbuck: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · NYI Clutterbuck, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Holmstrom

  78. P3 0:00Tavares: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · NYI Clutterbuck, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Holmstrom

  79. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  80. P3 0:00Final5v4