Mon, Feb 5, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
27%
TOR winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lee–Horvat–Barzal | Palmieri–Nelson–Engvall | Pageau–Wahlstrom–Holmstrom | Clutterbuck–Martin–MacLean | Lee–Pageau–Barzal | Clutterbuck–Pageau–Holmstrom | Horvat–Barzal–Holmstrom | Dobson–Romanov | Pelech–Pulock | Reilly–Mayfield | Reilly–Dobson | Mayfield–Pelech | Mayfield–Pulock | Pulock–Dobson | Pelech–Dobson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 6:140.18–0.10 | 2:030.09–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:050.14–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 3:420.22–0.11 | 5:550.16–0.04 | 2:010.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander | 1:350.21–0.10 | 1:290.00–0.34 | 4:040.20–0.07 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 3:360.43–0.02 | 2:120.06–0.00 | 3:550.32–0.00 | ||||||||
| Domi–Gregor–Robertson | 0:300.11–0.19 | 2:070.10–0.10 | 0:390.11–0.00 | 1:210.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 2:390.22–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:390.11–0.20 | |||||||
| Reaves–Holmberg–McMann | 0:440.00–0.26 | 1:450.08–0.01 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.01 | 2:470.08–0.25 | |||||||||
| Nylander–Matthews–Knies | 0:370.31–0.00 | 1:000.31–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Domi–Nylander–Gregor | 0:320.06–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 6:440.18–0.14 | 3:410.12–0.46 | 2:370.41–0.02 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.18 | 5:280.61–0.11 | 6:540.16–0.16 | 3:190.03–0.19 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | |||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 2:120.06–0.20 | 2:570.08–0.05 | 2:530.20–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 3:260.18–0.04 | 2:510.11–0.01 | 4:500.36–0.11 | |||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 3:410.33–0.46 | 2:340.07–0.09 | 1:310.00–0.05 | 2:200.43–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 4:210.39–0.17 | 3:080.39–0.00 | 2:390.12–0.38 | 0:500.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Brodie–McCabe | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| McCabe–Liljegren | 0:450.11–0.00 | 0:550.11–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Rielly–Liljegren | 0:310.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 25:59 | 0:58 | 3:02 | 3 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 24:55 | 1:02 | 2:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 24:43 | 1:07 | 2:04 | 5 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 24:02 | 1:03 | 2:02 | 5 | 4 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 26 | 23:15 | 0:54 | 2:39 | 0 | 1 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 26 | 23:01 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 3 | 4 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 27 | 21:58 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 2 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 21:16 | 0:55 | 2:25 | 5 | 1 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 29 | 20:49 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 2 | 7 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 29 | 20:15 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 4 | 5 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 22 | 19:41 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 3 | 2 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 21 | 19:24 | 0:55 | 2:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 22 | 18:25 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 0 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 25 | 18:13 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 29 | 17:40 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 23 | 17:36 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 24 | 17:19 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 4 | 3 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 23 | 17:15 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 23 | 16:59 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 26 | 16:42 | 0:39 | 1:36 | 0 | 4 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 25 | 16:39 | 0:40 | 1:40 | 0 | 3 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 23 | 16:17 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallNYI | 21 | 16:11 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 23 | 15:54 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 3 | 4 |
 Mike ReillyNYI | 22 | 15:27 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 17 | 15:26 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 4 | 2 |
 Noah GregorTOR | 18 | 10:52 | 0:36 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 16 | 10:48 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 18 | 10:08 | 0:34 | 1:34 | 4 | 1 |
 Oliver WahlstromNYI | 16 | 9:52 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 15 | 9:35 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 15 | 8:38 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 11 | 7:28 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 12 | 7:28 | 0:37 | 0:59 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 12 | 7:28 | 0:37 | 0:55 | 2 | 0 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 12 | 7:11 | 0:36 | 0:54 | 3 | 0 |