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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 7, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:08Shot by Seguin, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 3:45Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 5:31Hanley: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Domi, Gregor, Robertson · DAL Suter, Dadonov, Faksa, Hanley, Dellandrea

  5. P1 6:34Goal by Nylander (Rielly)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Dellandrea

  6. P1 7:48Shot by Hintz, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 9:06Shot by Pavelski, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 10:54McCabe: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Marchment

  9. P1 11:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Samsonov4v5
  10. P1 12:29Shot by Knies, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  11. P1 13:06Shot by Faksa, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 13:22Shot by McCabe, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 14:44Bertuzzi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Bertuzzi, Marner, Liljegren · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Heiskanen, Harley

  14. P1 14:52Goal by Benn (Pavelski, Robertson)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Brodie, Nylander, Marner · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  15. P1 17:23Goal by Dadonov (Dellandrea, Suter)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Reaves, McCabe, Holmberg, McMann · DAL Suter, Dadonov, Faksa, Hanley, Dellandrea

  16. P1 17:37Shot by Pavelski, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 17:59Shot by Steel, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 19:30Shot by Harley, saved by Samsonov
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 2:16Shot by Domi, saved by Wedgewood
  22. P2 2:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Wedgewood
  23. P2 3:35Seguin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Heiskanen, Harley

  24. P2 3:40Goal by Tavares (Nylander)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · DAL Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Johnston

  25. P2 5:15Reaves: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · DAL Dadonov, Faksa, Heiskanen, Dellandrea, Harley

  26. P2 5:43Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Samsonov4v5
  27. P2 5:56Shot by Marner, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  28. P2 6:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  29. P2 6:19Shot by Seguin, saved by Samsonov4v5
  30. P2 7:55Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Samsonov
  31. P2 8:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood
  32. P2 9:37Shot by Suter, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 9:41Shot by Suter, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 10:20Shot by Benoit, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 10:49Shot by Domi, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 11:09Shot by Johnston, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 11:26Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 11:55Heiskanen: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Reaves, McCabe, Matthews, Holmberg, Benoit, McMann · DAL Dadonov, Faksa, Heiskanen, Dellandrea, Harley

  39. P2 12:26Shot by Marner, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  40. P2 12:37Goal by Matthews (Tavares)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · DAL Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz

  41. P2 13:00Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Wedgewood
  42. P2 13:17Shot by Seguin, saved by Samsonov
  43. P2 14:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Wedgewood
  44. P2 15:55Shot by Harley, saved by Samsonov
  45. P2 16:18Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Samsonov
  46. P2 17:07Holmberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Rielly, Holmberg, McMann · DAL Suter, Duchene, Seguin, Hanley, Marchment

  47. P2 18:26Shot by Harley, saved by Samsonov4v5
  48. P2 18:54Shot by Harley, saved by Samsonov4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:17Shot by Domi, saved by Wedgewood
  52. P3 3:00Shot by McMann, saved by Wedgewood
  53. P3 3:55Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 4:10Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Wedgewood
  55. P3 4:29Shot by Johnston, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 5:12Shot by Marner, saved by Wedgewood
  57. P3 5:30Shot by McCabe, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P3 6:03Shot by Lindell, saved by Samsonov
  59. P3 6:49Shot by Giordano, saved by Wedgewood
  60. P3 8:44Shot by Rielly, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 8:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood
  62. P3 9:18Shot by Liljegren, saved by Wedgewood
  63. P3 10:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Wedgewood
  64. P3 11:05Giordano: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Hakanpää, Lindell, Johnston

  65. P3 11:05Goal by Dadonov, unassistedother+32 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Hakanpää, Lindell, Johnston

  66. P3 11:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Wedgewood
  67. P3 11:37Goal by Marner (Matthews, Knies)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Heiskanen, Harley

  68. P3 11:57Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Bertuzzi)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · DAL Suter, Pavelski, Hanley, Hintz, Robertson

  69. P3 13:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Wedgewood
  70. P3 14:18Shot by Pavelski, saved by Samsonov
  71. P3 15:35Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  72. P3 16:30Shot by Steel, saved by Samsonov
  73. P3 16:53Shot by Lindell, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 17:15Shot by Pavelski, saved by Samsonov5v6
  75. P3 18:35Goal by Johnston (Heiskanen, Marchment)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Brodie, Tavares, Bertuzzi, Nylander · DAL Dadonov, Marchment, Steel, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  76. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  77. P3 0:00Final5v6