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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 7, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Duchene–Seguin–MarchmentHintz–Robertson–JohnstonDadonov–Faksa–DellandreaPavelski–Benn–SteelPavelski–Benn–DadonovFaksa–Steel–DellandreaPavelski–Hintz–RobertsonBenn–Dadonov–JohnstonDuchene–Robertson–JohnstonHeiskanen–HarleyHakanpää–LindellSuter–HanleyHakanpää–Harley
Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander5:130.09–0.062:430.09–0.030:300.00–0.000:450.04–0.002:570.07–0.035:330.03–0.371:250.05–0.02
Marner–Matthews–Knies1:190.21–0.003:500.26–0.292:000.02–0.060:460.00–0.006:070.22–0.373:170.27–0.05
Domi–Gregor–Robertson1:310.00–0.020:530.00–0.001:590.00–0.081:050.10–0.140:380.00–0.000:310.00–0.073:160.10–0.310:310.00–0.003:170.00–0.08
Reaves–Holmberg–McMann1:540.04–0.130:510.09–0.001:060.22–0.002:310.12–0.002:390.21–0.13
Domi–Marner–Matthews0:380.00–0.000:360.01–0.001:000.00–0.040:360.01–0.00
Bertuzzi–Domi–Robertson0:560.13–0.141:120.13–0.14
Brodie–Rielly3:120.22–0.124:160.34–0.211:160.01–0.001:260.02–0.060:550.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:380.00–0.006:220.29–0.415:390.29–0.012:270.01–0.120:320.00–0.00
McCabe–Benoit5:300.33–0.081:220.01–0.071:580.09–0.031:180.07–0.070:390.20–0.000:330.24–0.000:300.04–0.004:550.34–0.253:270.09–0.033:570.48–0.10
Giordano–Liljegren1:280.13–0.140:390.00–0.081:020.00–0.000:470.02–0.000:550.02–0.000:410.00–0.422:440.02–0.000:410.00–0.393:170.15–0.14
Rielly–Liljegren0:440.16–0.001:210.00–0.000:550.10–0.000:460.00–0.00
Rielly–Benoit0:460.00–0.01
McCabe–Liljegren0:350.01–0.000:310.00–0.000:360.01–0.00
Liljegren–Benoit0:360.00–0.14
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FMatthews FMarner FKnies FDomi FRobertson FGregor FHolmberg FReaves FMcMann FBenoit DMcCabe DRielly DBrodie DGiordano DLiljegren DSamsonov GMarchment FSeguin FDuchene FRobertson FJohnston FHintz FSteel FPavelski FBenn FFaksa FDellandrea FDadonov FHeiskanen DHarley DHakanpää DLindell DHanley DSuter DWedgewood G
TORDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2825:440:551:4171
Morgan RiellyTOR2824:560:531:5044
Thomas HarleyDAL2823:280:501:3641
Mitch MarnerTOR2722:470:511:3367
Simon BenoitTOR3122:450:441:3305
TJ BrodieTOR3122:360:441:3828
Auston MatthewsTOR2622:200:521:2954
Jason RobertsonDAL2520:070:481:5972
Jake McCabeTOR3119:500:381:1415
Matt DucheneDAL2419:200:481:2540
William NylanderTOR2518:450:451:3436
Tyler BertuzziTOR2418:030:451:4123
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2117:590:511:1843
Esa LindellDAL2417:300:441:1317
Joe PavelskiDAL2617:220:401:1183
Roope HintzDAL2617:150:401:2565
Tyler SeguinDAL2417:030:431:2741
Jani HakanpääDAL2317:020:441:1317
John TavaresTOR2416:240:411:2242
Mason MarchmentDAL2316:220:431:1540
Jamie BennDAL2215:430:431:1683
Max DomiTOR2015:420:471:1312
Ryan SuterDAL2315:260:401:0822
Mark GiordanoTOR2414:330:361:3816
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2313:380:361:2232
Evgenii DadonovDAL2013:160:401:1743
Matthew KniesTOR1912:490:401:2732
Joel HanleyDAL2112:300:361:0322
Nick RobertsonTOR1612:220:461:1101
Radek FaksaDAL1512:130:491:1410
Ty DellandreaDAL1512:010:481:1410
Sam SteelDAL1410:430:461:0131
Noah GregorTOR1510:380:431:0301
Pontus HolmbergTOR1710:260:371:1121
Bobby McMannTOR138:120:381:0002
Ryan ReavesTOR127:090:360:5832