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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 7, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Dallas Stars

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Miro HeiskanenD · #40110225:440.1551.8%+3.6
Thomas HarleyD · #55000−1423:280.1955.9%0.0
Jason RobertsonLW · #210110120:070.2149.4%+18.1
Matt DucheneC · #95000−1019:200.0229.4%0.0
Wyatt JohnstonC · #53101+1317:590.2965.4%+3.6
Esa LindellD · #230000217:300.0151.6%0.0
Joe PavelskiC · #16011−1417:220.1350.4%+18.1
Roope HintzC · #24000−1117:150.1741.8%0.0
Tyler SeguinC · #91000−1317:030.3029.5%0.0
Jani HakanpääD · #20000217:020.0248.1%0.0
Mason MarchmentLW · #270110016:220.0329.5%+3.6
Jamie BennLW · #141010115:430.2366.5%+18.1
Ryan SuterD · #200110215:260.0540.3%+17.5
Evgenii DadonovLW · #63202+3213:160.7065.8%+49.1
Joel HanleyD · #440000012:300.0041.8%0.0
Radek FaksaC · #12000+1112:130.1252.2%0.0
Ty DellandreaC · #10011+1112:010.0436.3%+17.5
Sam SteelC · #18000+1210:430.0248.5%0.0
Scott Wedgewood#41L31265.8393.30−1.757:06

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44011+1324:560.0454.4%+17.4
Mitch MarnerRW · #16101+1422:470.5872.6%+32.2
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1122:450.0064.2%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #780000022:360.0052.5%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34112+1522:200.7767.2%+52.4
Jake McCabeD · #220000219:500.0765.4%0.0
William NylanderRW · #882130418:450.7132.3%+48.0
Tyler BertuzziLW · #590110318:030.2140.5%+11.6
John TavaresC · #911230116:240.1626.7%+50.8
Max DomiC · #110000315:420.1324.0%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #55000−2114:330.0029.1%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #370000113:380.0234.3%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23011+1112:490.5053.7%+32.2
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000112:220.0027.6%0.0
Noah GregorLW · #180000010:380.0018.1%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000−1010:260.3270.1%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74000−118:120.2472.0%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000−107:090.0757.0%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35W31274.8712.66−1.359:57