Wed, Feb 7, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Dallas Stars 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.
61%
8%
24%
TOR winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:44 | 0.15 | 51.8% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:28 | 0.19 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.21 | 49.4% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.02 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.29 | 65.4% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.01 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:22 | 0.13 | 50.4% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.17 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.30 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.02 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.03 | 29.5% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.23 | 66.5% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.05 | 40.3% | +17.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.70 | 65.8% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.12 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.04 | 36.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.02 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.30 | −1.7 | 57:06 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:56 | 0.04 | 54.4% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:47 | 0.58 | 72.6% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:20 | 0.77 | 67.2% | +52.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.07 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18:45 | 0.71 | 32.3% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.21 | 40.5% | +11.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.16 | 26.7% | +50.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:42 | 0.13 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.02 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.50 | 53.7% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.32 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:12 | 0.24 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:09 | 0.07 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.66 | −1.3 | 59:57 |