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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 12, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Arizona Coyotes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 78% of the time.

PHI winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:46Shot by Hathaway, saved by Vejmelka
  3. P1 2:54Lycksell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Lycksell, Farabee, Zamula · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Dermott, Crouse, Maccelli

  4. P1 3:22Shot by York, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  5. P1 4:55Hathaway: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Staal, Hathaway, Poehling, Lycksell, Walker · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, McBain, Moser

  6. P1 5:23Shot by Keller, saved by Ersson4v5
  7. P1 7:12Shot by York, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 7:45Shot by Tippett, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 7:47Dermott: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Tippett, Frost, Farabee, Zamula · ARI Dumba, Kerfoot, Dermott, Ruzicka, Guenther

  10. P1 9:48Shot by Dumba, saved by Ersson
  11. P1 11:28Shot by Crouse, saved by Ersson
  12. P1 13:17Shot by Seeler, saved by Vejmelka
  13. P1 14:17Shot by Atkinson, saved by Vejmelka
  14. P1 14:45Shot by Hayton, saved by Ersson
  15. P1 16:16Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Ersson
  16. P1 16:26Goal by Dumba (Keller, Dermott)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Laughton, Tippett, Lycksell, Walker · ARI Dumba, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller, McBain

  17. P1 17:54Shot by Moser, saved by Ersson
  18. P1 18:09Shot by York, saved by Vejmelka
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:23Shot by Konecny, saved by Vejmelka
  22. P2 0:40Shot by Walker, saved by Vejmelka
  23. P2 0:43Shot by Walker, saved by Vejmelka
  24. P2 1:57Shot by Farabee, saved by Vejmelka
  25. P2 2:00Shot by Zamula, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P2 4:23Kesselring: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: PHI Staal, Atkinson, Tippett, Frost, Zamula · ARI Välimäki, Hayton, Kesselring, Guenther, Cooley

  27. P2 4:23Goal by Frost, unassistedother+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Staal, Atkinson, Tippett, Frost, Zamula · ARI Välimäki, Hayton, Kesselring, Guenther, Cooley

  28. P2 5:34Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Ersson
  29. P2 5:54Durzi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Staal, Atkinson, Frost, Farabee, Drysdale · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, McBain, Moser

  30. P2 5:56Sanheim: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Laughton, Sanheim, Frost, York · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Kerfoot, Dermott

  31. P2 6:34Shot by Frost, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  32. P2 6:35Shot by Tippett, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  33. P2 7:25Shot by Konecny, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  34. P2 7:44Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Ersson4v4
  35. P2 7:53Shot by Maccelli, saved by Ersson4v4
  36. P2 7:57Goal by Maccelli (Moser, Kesselring)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Zamula, Drysdale · ARI Bjugstad, Durzi, Kesselring, Maccelli, Moser

  37. P2 8:41York: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Laughton, Sanheim, Farabee, York · ARI Zucker, Dumba, Kerfoot, Välimäki, Ruzicka

  38. P2 8:48Shot by Hathaway, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  39. P2 9:02Zucker: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Poehling, Walker · ARI Zucker, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Guenther

  40. P2 9:44Shot by Cooley, saved by Ersson4v4
  41. P2 9:55Goal by Konecny (Laughton)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Staal, Laughton, Konecny, Drysdale · ARI Dermott, Crouse, Durzi, Cooley

  42. P2 10:47Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Ersson5v4
  43. P2 11:24Shot by Dumba, saved by Ersson
  44. P2 11:25Shot by Hayton, saved by Ersson
  45. P2 14:02Goal by Kerfoot (Zucker, Moser)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Tippett, Lycksell, Walker, York · ARI Zucker, Kerfoot, Ruzicka, Kesselring, Moser

  46. P2 15:55McBain: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Seeler, Frost, Walker, Farabee · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Durzi, McBain

  47. P2 16:10Shot by Couturier, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  48. P2 17:34Shot by Crouse, saved by Ersson5v4
  49. P2 18:14Shot by Frost, saved by Vejmelka
  50. P2 18:58Shot by Konecny, saved by Vejmelka
  51. P2 19:17Bjugstad: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Sanheim, Poehling, Farabee, York · ARI Bjugstad, Crouse, Kesselring, Maccelli, Moser

  52. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:11Shot by Farabee, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  55. P3 1:19Shot by Frost, saved by Vejmelka
  56. P3 2:16Durzi: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Hathaway, Cates, Walker · ARI Dermott, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther, Cooley

  57. P3 2:20Shot by Drysdale, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  58. P3 3:05Shot by Tippett, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  59. P3 4:39Shot by Cates, saved by Vejmelka
  60. P3 6:12Goal by Drysdale (Konecny)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Tippett, Poehling, York, Drysdale · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Crouse, Maccelli, Moser

  61. P3 9:08Shot by Durzi, saved by Ersson
  62. P3 10:12Shot by Cates, saved by Vejmelka
  63. P3 10:21Goal by Laughton (Sanheim, Staal)+35 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Staal, Laughton, Hathaway, Sanheim, Cates · ARI Dumba, Dermott, Hayton, Guenther, Cooley

  64. P3 10:21Dumba: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Staal, Laughton, Hathaway, Sanheim, Cates · ARI Dumba, Dermott, Hayton, Guenther, Cooley

  65. P3 12:02Shot by Atkinson, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  66. P3 12:31Shot by Poehling, saved by Vejmelka
  67. P3 12:47Shot by Hathaway, saved by Vejmelka
  68. P3 13:20Shot by Atkinson, saved by Vejmelka
  69. P3 13:45Shot by Durzi, saved by Ersson
  70. P3 14:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Ersson
  71. P3 17:23Shot by Guenther, saved by Ersson
  72. P3 18:30Shot by Crouse, saved by Ersson5v6
  73. P3 18:39Goal by Tippett (Konecny, Couturier)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, York · ARI Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller, Durzi, McBain, Maccelli

  74. P3 19:07Shot by Välimäki, saved by Ersson
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final